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Champions League
Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Lyon
T T S U S
1–2
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 47%
33%
60%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 54%
67%
40%
Average goals
2,7
1,6
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Aug -26 Fenerbahce – Lyon 1–1 23. Jan -25 Fenerbahce – Lyon 0–0

Match report

Lyon Fenerbahce
24′
⚽ V. Muriqi 0–1
28′
⚽ A. Brown 0–2
M. Greenwood
32′
🟨 Milan Škriniar
Half-time 0–2
Loïs Openda 🟨
51′
1–2 M. Fofana ⚽
A. Maitland-Niles
61′
Z. Athekame 🔁
↦ A. Maitland-Niles
62′
K. Boudache 🔁
↦ E. Nuamah
62′
Loïs Openda ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
65′
67′
🔁 I. Yuksek
↦ Talisca
Kaïl Boudache ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
71′
P. Sulc 🔁
↦ T. Tessmann
76′
76′
🔁 D. Nene
↦ O. Aydin
80′
🔁 R. Lukaku
↦ V. Muriqi
80′
🔁 I. Kahveci
↦ M. Greenwood
N. Tagliafico 🔁
↦ Abner Vinicius
86′
M. Bidstrup 🔁
↦ T. Morton
86′
94′
🟨 Mattéo Guendouzi
95′
🟨 Dorgeles Nene
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lyon

4-3-3
1 D. Greif G
98 A. Maitland-Niles D
21 R. Kluivert D
19 M. Niakhate D
16 Abner Vinicius D
6 T. Tessmann M
23 T. Morton M
8 C. Tolisso M
7 E. Nuamah F
17 L. Openda F
11 M. Fofana F
Bench (12)
40 R. Descamps
22 C. Mata
13 Z. Athekame
3 N. Tagliafico
20 F. Bacher
2 M. Bidstrup
10 P. Sulc
99 N. Nartey
39 M. de Carvalho
76 M. Ouedraogo
26 K. Boudache
45 R. Himbert

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson G
27 N. Semedo D
37 M. Skriniar D
15 N. Ake D
3 A. Brown D
91 N. Kante M
6 M. Guendouzi M
11 M. Greenwood M
94 Talisca M
70 O. Aydin M
19 V. Muriqi F
Bench (10)
13 T. Cetin
75 K. Sapaz
18 M. Muldur
14 Y. E. Demir
22 L. Mercan
5 I. Yuksek
28 B. Elmaz
9 R. Lukaku
17 I. Kahveci
45 D. Nene

Coach: Ismail Kartal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Maurizio Mariani · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.