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Europa League
Referee: S Vinčić
Leverkusen
S U T T U
0–0
Full-time
Roma
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/13 matches
Win Ø 56%
57%
54%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
43%
46%
Both score Ø 52%
57%
46%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,14 xG 0,04
72% Possession 28%
23 Shots 1
6 Shots on target 0
8 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. May -23 Roma – Leverkusen 1–0

Match report

Leverkusen Roma
34′
🔁 N. Zalewski
↦ L. Spinazzola
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Wijnaldum
↦ A. Belotti
Piero Hincapié 🟨
48′
Exequiel Palacios 🟨
56′
Mitchel Bakker 🟨
70′
70′
🟨 Roger Ibañez
A. Adli 🔁
↦ M. Bakker
73′
78′
🔁 C. Smalling
↦ Z. Çelik
A. Hložek 🔁
↦ E. Palacios
80′
N. Amiri 🔁
↦ J. Tah
86′
89′
🟨 Bryan Cristante
Moussa Diaby 🟨
90′
Edmond Tapsoba 🟨
97′
99′
🟨 Tammy Abraham
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
12 E. Tapsoba D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Hincapié D
30 J. Frimpong M
10 K. Demirbay M
25 E. Palacios M
5 M. Bakker M
19 M. Diaby F
27 F. Wirtz F
9 S. Azmoun F
Bench (9)
21 A. Adli
23 A. Hložek
11 N. Amiri
36 N. Lomb
17 C. Hudson-Odoi
28 P. Pentz
47 A. Aourir
24 T. Fosu-Mensah
32 A. Azhil

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Roma

3-5-2
1 Rui Patrício G
23 G. Mancini D
4 B. Cristante D
3 Ibañez D
19 Z. Çelik M
52 E. Bove M
8 N. Matić M
7 L. Pellegrini M
37 L. Spinazzola M
11 A. Belotti F
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (12)
59 N. Zalewski
25 G. Wijnaldum
6 C. Smalling
20 M. Camara
68 B. Tahirović
2 R. Karsdorp
63 P. Boer
21 P. Dybala
99 M. Svilar
62 C. Volpato
92 S. El Shaarawy
58 F. Missori

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.