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Eliteserien

Referee: Martin Lundby

Sarpsborg 08

T S S S T

5–1

Full-time

Kristiansund

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Kristiansund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

100%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Eliteserien · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,5

1,5

Scored

2,3

0,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 3. · Kristiansund 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Molde	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Sarpsborg 08	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Stabaek	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Stromsgodset	5	2	2	1	+0	8
6	Brann	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Tromso	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Haugesund	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Sandefjord	5	2	0	3	-2	6
10	Odd	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Aalesund	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Sogndal	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Lillestrom	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Kristiansund	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Valerenga	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Viking	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stabaek	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Stromsgodset	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Sarpsborg 08	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Molde	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Brann	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Odd	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Sogndal	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Tromso	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Haugesund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Aalesund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Valerenga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Sandefjord	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Lillestrom	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Viking	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Tromso	2	1	0	1	+0	3
3	Molde	2	1	0	1	+0	3
4	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	0	1	-1	3
5	Sandefjord	3	1	0	2	-1	3
6	Haugesund	3	1	0	2	-2	3
7	Brann	2	0	1	1	-1	1
8	Aalesund	2	0	1	1	-2	1
9	Stromsgodset	2	0	1	1	-3	1
10	Lillestrom	2	0	0	2	-3	0
11	Stabaek	1	0	0	1	-3	0
12	Kristiansund	2	0	0	2	-4	0
13	Viking	2	0	0	2	-4	0
14	Valerenga	2	0	0	2	-5	0
15	Sogndal	2	0	0	2	-5	0
16	Odd	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.