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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Celta
S S T T S
0–1
Full-time
Betis
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 31/32 matches
Win Ø 35%
42%
28%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
65%
44%
Both score Ø 49%
48%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
5 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 10. · Betis 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 31 23 6 2 +49 75
2 Barcelona 32 22 6 4 +61 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 20 8 5 +36 68
4 Sevilla 33 19 8 6 +19 65
5 Villarreal 33 16 9 8 +21 57
6 Sociedad 33 17 4 12 +4 55
7 Ath Bilbao 32 16 5 11 +8 53
8 Eibar 32 14 8 10 +8 50
9 Espanol 33 13 10 10 +1 49
10 Celta 31 13 5 13 -3 44
11 Alaves 32 11 10 11 -8 43
12 Valencia 33 11 7 15 -9 40
13 Las Palmas 32 10 8 14 -6 38
14 Malaga 33 9 9 15 -11 36
15 Betis 32 9 7 16 -16 34
16 La Coruna 33 7 10 16 -16 31
17 Leganes 33 6 9 18 -24 27
18 Sp Gijon 33 5 8 20 -30 23
19 Granada 33 4 8 21 -43 20
20 Osasuna 33 3 9 21 -41 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Betis
27′
🟨 Riza Durmisi
Half-time 0–1
54′
D. Brašanac 0–1
R. Durmisi
C. Beauvue 🔁
↦ J. Guidetti
59′
Carles Planas 🟨
61′
Jonny Castro 🔁
↦ Planas
63′
71′
🟨 Bruno González
D. Wass 🔁
↦ Pape Diop
71′
Daniel Wass 🟨
79′
80′
🟨 Dani Ceballos
Marcelo Díaz 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 Rubén Castro
↦ Joaquín
86′
🟨 Rafa Navarro
87′
🔁 Petros
↦ Rubén Pardo
89′
🔁 Cejudo
↦ D. Brašanac
90′
🟨 Álvaro Cejudo
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Celta

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Álvarez G
24 F. Roncaglia D
21 Planas D
20 Sergi Gómez D
5 M. Díaz M
16 Jozabed M
6 N. Radoja M
15 Álvaro Lemos D
4 Pape Diop M
9 J. Guidetti F
7 T. Bongonda M
Bench (7)
12 C. Beauvue
19 Jonny Castro
18 D. Wass
17 A. Hjulsager
22 G. Cabral
23 Josep Señé
27 Iván Villar

Coach: E. Berizzo

Betis

5-3-2
13 Adán G
23 A. Mandi D
21 A. Toșca D
4 Bruno González D
14 R. Durmisi D
2 Rafa Navarro D
17 Joaquín M
22 D. Brašanac M
7 Rubén Pardo M
10 Dani Ceballos M
19 Álex Alegría F
Bench (7)
24 Rubén Castro
5 Petros
16 Cejudo
3 Álex Martínez
11 Matías Nahuel
15 R. Donk
1 Dani Giménez

Coach: Víctor Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.