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Europa League
Referee: T Stieler
Benfica
S U S T T
2–2
Full-time
Rangers
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,2
2,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,46 xG 1,26
68% Possession 32%
24 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
10 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
14 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Benfica Rangers
7′
⚽ T. Lawrence 0–1
M. Diomandé
27′
🟨 Dujon Sterling
Ángel Di María 🟨
34′
Ángel Di María ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
45′
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Jack Butland
1–1 Á. Di María ⚽
47′
50′
⚽ D. Sterling 1–2
Marcos Leonardo 🔁
↦ Arthur Cabral
65′
67′
🟨 Rıdvan Yılmaz
1–3 C. Goldson ⚽
own goal
67′
Alexander Bah 🟨
72′
76′
🔁 K. Roofe
↦ C. Dessers
77′
🔁 C. McKinnon
↦ D. Sterling
77′
🔁 R. Jack
↦ T. Lawrence
Tiago Gouveia 🔁
↦ David Neres
84′
Álvaro Fernández 🔁
↦ A. Bah
84′
84′
🔁 N. Raskin
↦ M. Diomandé
91′
🔁 R. McCausland
↦ Fábio Silva
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin G
6 A. Bah D
4 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
8 F. Aursnes D
87 João Neves M
61 Florentino M
7 David Neres M
27 Rafa M
11 Á. Di María M
9 Arthur Cabral F
Bench (12)
36 Marcos Leonardo
47 Tiago Gouveia
3 Álvaro Fernández
10 O. Kökçü
82 Diogo Spencer
19 C. Tengstedt
5 Morato
24 Samuel Soares
75 André Gomes
20 João Mário
32 B. Rollheiser
44 Tomás Araújo

Coach: R. Schmidt

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butland G
2 J. Tavernier D
6 C. Goldson D
5 J. Souttar D
3 R. Yılmaz D
42 M. Diomandé M
4 J. Lundstram M
21 D. Sterling M
11 T. Lawrence M
7 Fábio Silva M
9 C. Dessers F
Bench (12)
25 K. Roofe
93 C. McKinnon
8 R. Jack
43 N. Raskin
45 R. McCausland
47 R. Fraser
32 K. Wright
46 J. Yfeko
38 L. King
28 R. McCrorie
31 B. Barišić
26 B. Davies

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.