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Conference League
Referee: B Frankowski
Sturm Graz
S U S S S
0–3
Full-time
Lille
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/8 matches
Win Ø 82%
100%
63%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
2,5
1,6
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,98 xG 2,88
32% Possession 68%
15 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sturm Graz Lille
28′
J. David 0–1
A. Bouaddi
W. Bøving 🔁
↦ M. Sarkaria
42′
Half-time 0–2
51′
J. David 0–2
S. Hierländer 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
64′
64′
🔁 R. Cabella
↦ H. Haraldsson
64′
🔁 G. Gudmundsson
↦ Ismaily
64′
🔁 Y. Yazıcı
↦ J. David
S. Włodarczyk 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
65′
A. Camara 🔁
↦ D. Lavalée
65′
Gregory Wüthrich 🟨
68′
71′
E. Zhegrova 0–3
A. Gomes
74′
🟨 Ayyoub Bouaddi
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
77′
77′
🔁 J. Bazié
↦ E. Zhegrova
81′
🔁 I. Ferrah
↦ A. Gomes
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-2-3-1
16 V. Jaroš G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
28 D. Schnegg D
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
24 D. Lavalée M
11 M. Sarkaria M
19 T. Horvat M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
18 M. Biereth F
Bench (11)
15 W. Bøving
25 S. Hierländer
9 S. Włodarczyk
36 A. Camara
2 M. Johnston
45 C. Wiener-Pucher
35 N. Geyrhofer
31 L. Marić
21 S. Stückler
38 L. Grgić
46 S. Mustafić

Coach: C. Ilzer

Lille

4-3-3
30 L. Chevalier G
22 Tiago Santos D
15 L. Yoro D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
31 Ismaily D
33 A. Bouaddi M
21 B. André M
8 A. Gomes M
23 E. Zhegrova F
9 J. David F
7 H. Haraldsson F
Bench (10)
10 R. Cabella
5 G. Gudmundsson
12 Y. Yazıcı
42 J. Bazié
38 I. Ferrah
1 V. Mannone
40 T. Negrel
39 L. Baret
36 O. Touré
18 B. Diakité

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Frankowski · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.