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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Molde
U T S T S
2–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 11
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 7. · Lillestrom 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Stabaek 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Sarpsborg 08 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Stromsgodset 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Lillestrom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Valerenga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Molde 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Tromso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Brann 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Sandefjord 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Viking 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Kristiansund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Aalesund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Sogndal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Haugesund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Odd 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Lillestrom
K. Rindarøy 🔁
↦ O. Rindarøy
27′
1–0 S. Svendsen
O. Karlsson
29′
Half-time 1–1
47′
I. Matthew 1–1
S. Udodji
F. Brustad 🔁
↦ O. Karlsson
66′
F. Aursnes 🔁
↦ E. Hussain
66′
73′
🔁 M. Škoda
↦ S. Udodji
2–1 S. Gregersen
93′
94′
🔁 F. Kippe
↦ F. Krogstad
94′
🔁 S. Antonijevic
↦ S. Rafn
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Molde

4-4-2
1 A. Linde G
4 R. Gabrielsen D
22 C. Remmer D
3 O. Rindarøy M
16 E. Hussain M
8 B. Sarr D
6 S. Gregersen D
14 P. Strand M
10 B. Sigurðarson F
11 S. Svendsen F
25 O. Karlsson F
Bench (7)
23 K. Rindarøy
33 F. Brustad
17 F. Aursnes
5 J. Toivio
21 T. Svendsen
34 Neydson
19 E. Hestad

Coach: O. Solskjær

Lillestrom

4-4-2
1 Daniel Fernandes
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
23 S. Udodji F
5 S. Rafn D
33 A. Andreassen M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
7 T. Malec F
Bench (6)
27 M. Škoda
13 F. Kippe
22 S. Antonijevic
29 E. Ødegaard
15 E. Brenden
9 B. Ajeti

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.