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Europa League
Referee: L Visser
Lazio
S U T U S
3–1
Full-time
Sociedad
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,53 xG 1,58
78% Possession 22%
19 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Lazio Sociedad
1–0 Mario Gila
V. Castellanos
5′
Nicolò Rovella 🟨
7′
12′
🟨 Aihen Muñoz
30′
🟨 Aihen Muñoz
30′
🟥 Aihen Muñoz
2–0 M. Zaccagni
G. Isaksen
32′
3–0 V. Castellanos
Nuno Tavares
34′
36′
🔁 Javi López
↦ Brais Méndez
39′
🟨 Martín Zubimendi
F. Dele-Bashiru 🔁
↦ Nuno Tavares
43′
Half-time 3–0
Pedro 🔁
↦ V. Castellanos
46′
46′
🔁 Barrenetxea
↦ T. Kubo
46′
🔁 Aritz Elustondo
↦ Martín Zubimendi
46′
🔁 Pablo Marín
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
Mattia Zaccagni 🟨
53′
L. Tchaouna 🔁
↦ M. Zaccagni
56′
T. Noslin 🔁
↦ G. Isaksen
56′
71′
🔁 Jon Pacheco
↦ N. Aguerd
Mahamadou Balde 🔁
↦ B. Dia
76′
82′
Barrenetxea 3–1
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Lazio

4-2-3-1
35 C. Mandas G
77 A. Marušić D
34 Mario Gila D
13 A. Romagnoli D
30 Nuno Tavares D
8 M. Guendouzi M
6 N. Rovella M
18 G. Isaksen M
19 B. Dia M
10 M. Zaccagni M
11 V. Castellanos F
Bench (8)
7 F. Dele-Bashiru
9 Pedro
20 L. Tchaouna
14 T. Noslin
64 Mahamadou Balde
55 A. Furlanetto
94 I. Provedel
63 M. Zazza

Coach: M. Baroni

Sociedad

4-1-4-1
1 Álex Remiro G
27 J. Aramburu D
5 Zubeldia D
21 N. Aguerd D
3 Aihen Muñoz D
4 Martín Zubimendi M
14 T. Kubo M
23 Brais Méndez M
24 L. Sučić M
11 S. Becker M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
Bench (12)
12 Javi López
7 Barrenetxea
6 Aritz Elustondo
28 Pablo Marín
20 Jon Pacheco
31 Jon Martín
2 Odriozola
17 Sergio Gómez
16 Jon Olasagasti
13 Unai Marrero
22 Beñat Turrientes
9 O. Óskarsson

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.