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Europa League
Referee: F Glova
Qarabag
T T S T T
2–3
Full-time
FCSB
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag FCSB
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/8 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
83%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,0
1,9
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,42 xG 0,79
64% Possession 36%
9 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 23
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Qarabag FCSB
1–0 Leandro Andrade ⚽
N. Axundzadə
1′
4′
🟨 Baba Alhassan
7′
⚽ A. Șut 1–1
F. Tănase
12′
ℹ️ Daniel Bîrligea
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Júlio Romão 🟨
39′
1–2 J. Dawa ⚽
own goal
40′
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 A. Băluță
↦ M. Ștefănescu
46′
🔁 M. Edjouma
↦ B. Alhassan
49′
⚽ D. Miculescu 1–3
62′
🔁 A. Musi
↦ D. Miculescu
Patrick Andrade 🔁
↦ Júlio Romão
70′
M. Vešović 🔁
↦ B. Mustafazadə
71′
73′
⚽ A. Șut 1–4
79′
🟨 Siyabonga Ngezana
79′
🔁 M. Popescu
↦ F. Tănase
E. Addai 🔁
↦ Leandro Andrade
81′
M. Qurbanlı 🔁
↦ N. Axundzadə
81′
T. Bayramov 🔁
↦ O. Kashchuk
81′
Patrick Andrade 🟨
89′
90′
🔁 Daniel Popa
↦ D. Bîrligea
92′
🟨 Valentin Crețu
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
97 F. Buntić G
2 Matheus Silva D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
21 O. Kashchuk M
15 Leandro Andrade M
10 A. Zoubir M
90 N. Axundzadə F
Bench (12)
66 Patrick Andrade
29 M. Vešović
11 E. Addai
22 M. Qurbanlı
27 T. Bayramov
55 B. Hüseynov
30 A. Hüseynov
24 A. Isaev
12 S. Məmmədzadə
20 R. Almeyda
99 M. Kochalski
7 Y. Benzia

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

FCSB

4-2-3-1
32 Ș. Târnovanu G
2 V. Crețu D
30 S. Ngezana D
5 J. Dawa D
33 R. Radunović D
42 B. Alhassan M
8 A. Șut M
15 M. Ștefănescu M
7 F. Tănase M
11 D. Miculescu M
9 D. Bîrligea F
Bench (8)
25 A. Băluță
18 M. Edjouma
29 A. Musi
17 M. Popescu
19 Daniel Popa
1 M. Udrea
22 M. Toma
28 A. Pantea

Coach: I. Charalampous

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Glova · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.