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Europa League
Referee: R Obrenović
AZ Alkmaar
S U S U T
1–0
Full-time
Tottenham
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 52%
40%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
60%
75%
Both score Ø 67%
70%
63%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,9
2,1
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,61 xG 0,44
38% Possession 62%
12 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Oct -24 Tottenham – AZ Alkmaar 1–0

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Tottenham
D. Kasius 🔁
↦ M. Lahdo
9′
0–1 L. Bergvall ⚽
own goal
18′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 W. Odobert
↦ M. Tel
62′
🟨 Rodrigo Bentancur
Peer Koopmeiners 🟨
65′
K. Smit 🔁
↦ D. Kasius
66′
Ernest Poku 🟨
68′
72′
🔁 D. Solanke
↦ Son Heung-Min
72′
🔁 Pedro Porro
↦ D. Udogie
72′
🔁 P. Sarr
↦ J. Maddison
K. Belić 🔁
↦ E. Poku
81′
S. van Duijn 🔁
↦ T. Parrott
81′
I. Sadiq 🔁
↦ Z. Buurmeester
81′
92′
🔁 D. Scarlett
↦ D. Solanke
Sem van Duijn 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 R. Owusu-Oduro G
16 S. Maikuma D
3 W. Goes D
5 Alexandre Penetra D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
8 J. Clasie M
6 P. Koopmeiners M
21 E. Poku M
28 Z. Buurmeester M
23 M. Lahdo M
9 T. Parrott F
Bench (11)
30 D. Kasius
26 K. Smit
14 K. Belić
78 S. van Duijn
11 I. Sadiq
4 B. Martins Indi
41 J. Zoet
34 M. de Wit
22 M. Dekker
12 H. Verhulst
37 R. Daal

Coach: M. Martens

Tottenham

4-3-3
1 G. Vicario G
24 D. Spence D
14 A. Gray D
4 K. Danso D
13 D. Udogie D
15 L. Bergvall M
30 R. Bentancur M
10 J. Maddison M
22 B. Johnson F
11 M. Tel F
7 Son Heung-Min F
Bench (11)
28 W. Odobert
19 D. Solanke
23 Pedro Porro
29 P. Sarr
44 D. Scarlett
47 M. Moore
41 A. Whiteman
37 M. van de Ven
8 Y. Bissouma
40 B. Austin
17 C. Romero

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Obrenović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.