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Conference League
Referee: G Kabakov
FC Copenhagen
T S S S U
1–2
Full-time
Chelsea
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 14/8 matches
Win Ø 69%
50%
88%
Points per game
1,7
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
57%
75%
Both score Ø 60%
57%
63%
Average goals
2,8
4,5
Scored
1,7
3,6
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+2,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,45 xG 0,37
38% Possession 62%
5 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 0
4 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 5
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FC Copenhagen Chelsea
25′
🔁 Marc Cucurella
↦ M. Gusto
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Colwill
↦ B. Badiashile
46′
🔁 E. Fernández
↦ M. Caicedo
46′
🔁 C. Nkunku
↦ S. Mheuka
46′
⚽ R. James 0–1
Marc Cucurella
Robert 🔁
↦ E. Achouri
65′
M. Mattsson 🔁
↦ V. Claesson
65′
65′
⚽ E. Fernández 0–2
T. George
M. López 🔁
↦ B. Meling
70′
R. Huescas 🔁
↦ G. Gocholeishvili
70′
72′
🔁 J. Sancho
↦ C. Palmer
Kevin Diks 🟨
77′
M. Garan'anga 🔁
↦ K. Diks
79′
1–2 Gabriel Pereira ⚽
M. López
79′
Amin Chiakha 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Enzo Fernández
Marcos López 🟨
90′
Pantelis Hatzidiakos 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

5-4-1
41 D. Ramaj G
22 G. Gocholeishvili D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
2 K. Diks D
6 P. Hatzidiakos D
24 B. Meling D
7 V. Claesson M
36 W. Clem M
17 V. Froholdt M
30 E. Achouri M
19 A. Chiakha F
Bench (9)
16 Robert
8 M. Mattsson
15 M. López
13 R. Huescas
4 M. Garan'anga
31 R. Rúnarsson
48 H. Németh
33 R. Falk
1 N. Trott

Coach: J. Neestrup

Chelsea

4-2-3-1
1 Robert Sánchez G
23 T. Chalobah D
4 T. Adarabioyo D
5 B. Badiashile D
27 M. Gusto D
25 M. Caicedo M
24 R. James M
32 T. George M
20 C. Palmer M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
76 S. Mheuka F
Bench (10)
3 Marc Cucurella
6 L. Colwill
8 E. Fernández
18 C. Nkunku
19 J. Sancho
47 L. Bergström
12 F. Jørgensen
39 M. Amougou
7 Pedro Neto
34 J. Acheampong

Coach: E. Maresca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kabakov · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.