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Europa League
Referee: D Rumšas
Plzen
T S T T S
1–2
Full-time
Lazio
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plzen Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 14/8 matches
Win Ø 66%
57%
75%
Points per game
1,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
57%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,1
Conceded
1,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,31 xG 1,25
56% Possession 44%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 2

Match report

Plzen Lazio
Pavel Šulc ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
13′
18′
⚽ A. Romagnoli 0–1
T. Noslin
Half-time 1–1
1–1 R. Durosinmi ⚽
L. Kalvach
53′
55′
🔁 M. Lazzari
↦ Nuno Tavares
Lukáš Kalvach 🟨
61′
62′
🟨 Matías Vecino
62′
🔁 L. Tchaouna
↦ T. Noslin
62′
🔁 M. Vecino
↦ Pedro
Cadu 🟨
71′
Lukáš Červ 🟨
75′
76′
ℹ️ Nicolò Rovella
VAR: Card upgrade
77′
🟥 Nicolò Rovella
J. Panoš 🔁
↦ L. Červ
80′
82′
🔁 Patric
↦ B. Dia
83′
🟨 Patric
J. Kopic 🔁
↦ A. Memić
84′
P. Adu 🔁
↦ R. Durosinmi
85′
93′
🟥 Samuel Gigot
98′
⚽ G. Isaksen 1–2
M. Guendouzi
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Plzen

3-4-2-1
16 M. Jedlička G
40 S. Dweh D
3 S. Marković D
21 V. Jemelka D
99 A. Memić M
6 L. Červ M
23 L. Kalvach M
22 Cadu M
31 P. Šulc F
17 R. Durosinmi F
11 M. Vydra F
Bench (11)
20 J. Panoš
10 J. Kopic
80 P. Adu
12 A. Sojka
13 M. Tvrdoň
24 M. Havel
32 M. Valenta
14 Merchas Doski
51 D. Vašulín
30 V. Baier
5 J. Paluska

Coach: M. Koubek

Lazio

4-2-3-1
94 I. Provedel G
77 A. Marušić D
2 S. Gigot D
13 A. Romagnoli D
30 Nuno Tavares D
8 M. Guendouzi M
6 N. Rovella M
18 G. Isaksen M
19 B. Dia M
9 Pedro M
14 T. Noslin F
Bench (10)
29 M. Lazzari
20 L. Tchaouna
5 M. Vecino
4 Patric
55 A. Furlanetto
60 M. Nazzaro
35 C. Mandas
58 A. Milani
61 F. Serra
34 Mario Gila

Coach: M. Baroni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Rumšas · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.