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Eliteserien

Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas

Stabaek

U U S U T

2–4

Full-time

Lillestrom

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 36%

45%

27%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

64%

45%

Both score Ø 60%

55%

64%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%

17 Shots 19

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stabaek 5. · Lillestrom 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	11	6	4	1	+9	22
2	Brann	11	6	3	2	+14	21
3	Sarpsborg 08	11	6	3	2	+10	21
4	Odd	11	6	1	4	+0	19
5	Stabaek	11	5	3	3	+3	18
6	Aalesund	11	5	3	3	+3	18
7	Molde	11	5	2	4	+3	17
8	Valerenga	12	5	2	5	-1	17
9	Sandefjord	11	4	2	5	-5	14
10	Stromsgodset	11	3	4	4	-3	13
11	Tromso	12	3	4	5	-6	13
12	Sogndal	11	3	3	5	-2	12
13	Haugesund	11	3	3	5	-3	12
14	Kristiansund	11	3	3	5	-6	12
15	Lillestrom	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	Viking	11	1	2	8	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	6	4	2	0	+13	14
2	Sarpsborg 08	6	4	1	1	+10	13
3	Odd	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Stromsgodset	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Rosenborg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Stabaek	6	3	2	1	+4	11
7	Valerenga	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Kristiansund	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Molde	5	3	0	2	+5	9
10	Aalesund	5	3	0	2	+3	9
11	Sandefjord	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	Sogndal	5	2	1	2	+5	7
13	Haugesund	5	1	3	1	-1	6
14	Tromso	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Lillestrom	6	2	0	4	-2	6
16	Viking	5	1	0	4	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Aalesund	6	2	3	1	+0	9
3	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	2	1	+0	8
4	Molde	6	2	2	2	-2	8
5	Brann	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Stabaek	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Tromso	6	2	1	3	-4	7
8	Odd	6	2	1	3	-5	7
9	Haugesund	6	2	0	4	-2	6
10	Valerenga	6	2	0	4	-5	6
11	Sandefjord	6	2	0	4	-6	6
12	Lillestrom	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Sogndal	6	1	2	3	-7	5
14	Stromsgodset	5	0	2	3	-7	2
15	Viking	6	0	2	4	-10	2
16	Kristiansund	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.