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Eliteserien
Referee: Trygve Kjensli
Rosenborg
U S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
67%
22%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
0,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
8 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 10
2 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 1. · Lillestrom 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 9 6 2 1 +9 20
2 Odd 9 6 0 3 +1 18
3 Brann 9 5 2 2 +13 17
4 Sarpsborg 08 9 5 2 2 +8 17
5 Stabaek 9 5 2 2 +5 17
6 Aalesund 9 4 2 3 +1 14
7 Valerenga 9 4 1 4 -1 13
8 Sandefjord 9 4 1 4 -3 13
9 Tromso 9 3 3 3 -1 12
10 Molde 9 3 2 4 +0 11
11 Sogndal 9 3 2 4 -1 11
12 Haugesund 9 3 2 4 -2 11
13 Stromsgodset 9 2 3 4 -5 9
14 Kristiansund 9 2 2 5 -7 8
15 Lillestrom 9 2 1 6 -7 7
16 Viking 9 1 1 7 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Lillestrom
Half-time 1–0
1–0 N. Bendtner
M. Jensen
59′
A. Konradsen 🔁
↦ M. Lundemo
76′
81′
F. Kippe 1–1
S. Mikalsen
T. Reginiussen 🔁
↦ B. Meling
82′
M. Jevtović 🔁
↦ P. Helland
83′
84′
🔁 T. Malec
↦ S. Udodji
Matthías Vilhjálmsson 🟨
86′
90′
🟨 Bajram Ajeti
94′
🔁 B. Ajeti
↦ E. Knudtzon
95′
🔁 S. Antonijevic
↦ F. Krogstad
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 André Hansen G
14 J. Bjørdal D
16 J. Skjelvik D
2 V. Hedenstad D
3 B. Meling D
7 M. Jensen M
21 F. Midtsjø M
25 M. Lundemo M
10 M. Vilhjálmsson F
9 N. Bendtner F
23 P. Helland F
Bench (7)
8 A. Konradsen
4 T. Reginiussen
26 M. Jevtović
15 E. Rashani
20 A. Gersbach
24 A. Østbø
32 E. Reitan

Coach: K. Ingebrigtsen

Lillestrom

4-4-2
77 A. Origi G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
23 S. Udodji F
5 S. Rafn D
33 A. Andreassen M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
Bench (6)
7 T. Malec
9 B. Ajeti
22 S. Antonijevic
15 E. Brenden
27 M. Škoda
29 E. Ødegaard

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trygve Kjensli · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.