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Europa League
Referee: Davide Massa
Freiburg
S T T T U
3–1
Full-time
Sp Braga
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 13/19 matches
Win Ø 65%
62%
68%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
46%
37%
Both score Ø 42%
46%
37%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,9
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,83 xG 1,84
66% Possession 34%
19 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Apr -26 Sp Braga – Freiburg 2–1

Match report

Freiburg Sp Braga
6′
🟥 Mario Dorgeles
1–0 L. Kubler ⚽
19′
2–0 J. Manzambi ⚽
P. Treu
41′
Half-time 2–0
62′
🟨 Pau Víctor
65′
🟨 Jean-Baptiste Gorby
65′
🔁 F. Navarro
↦ R. Zalazar
65′
🔁 Gabriel Moscardo
↦ Vitor Carvalho
71′
🟨 Demir Ege Tıknaz
3–0 L. Kubler ⚽
V. Grifo
72′
77′
🔁 G. Martinez
↦ D. E. Tiknaz
79′
⚽ P. Victor 3–1
V. Gomez
J. Makengo 🔁
↦ L. Kubler
80′
B. Ogbus 🔁
↦ J. Beste
81′
L. Holer 🔁
↦ V. Grifo
92′
94′
🟨 Gabriel Martínez
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu G
17 L. Kubler D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
29 P. Treu D
8 M. Eggestein M
27 N. Hofler M
19 J. Beste M
44 J. Manzambi M
32 V. Grifo M
31 I. Matanovic F
Bench (12)
21 F. Muller
24 J. Huth
9 L. Holer
26 M. Philipp
33 J. Makengo
43 B. Ogbus
65 K. Steinmann
30 C. Gunter
5 A. Jung
7 D. Scherhant
22 C. Irie
69 R. Tarnutzer

Coach: Julian Schuster

Sp Braga

3-4-2-1
1 L. Hornicek G
14 G. Lagerbielke D
15 P. Oliveira D
6 Vitor Carvalho D
2 V. Gomez M
8 J. Moutinho M
34 D. E. Tiknaz M
20 M. Dorgeles M
29 Gorby F
10 R. Zalazar F
18 P. Victor F
Bench (12)
12 T. Sa
36 A. Bellaarouch
5 L. Lelo
53 J. Noro
41 Y. da Rocha
70 R. Mordomo
77 G. Martinez
21 R. Horta
39 F. Navarro
9 A. El Ouazzani
17 Gabriel Moscardo
90 Luisinho

Coach: Carlos Vicens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Davide Massa · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.