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Premier League
Referee: Graham Scott
Tottenham
T U U S T
1–0
Full-time
Everton
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Everton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Premier League · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 64%
69%
59%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tottenham 10. · Everton 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 33 29 2 2 +47 89
2 Man City 33 21 3 9 +47 66
3 Leicester 33 17 7 9 +32 58
4 Chelsea 33 17 6 10 +16 57
5 Man United 33 15 10 8 +23 55
6 Wolves 33 13 13 7 +9 52
7 Arsenal 33 12 13 8 +8 49
8 Sheffield United 33 12 12 9 +1 48
9 Burnley 33 13 7 13 -9 46
10 Tottenham 32 12 9 11 +7 45
11 Everton 32 12 8 12 -7 44
12 Newcastle 33 11 10 12 -10 43
13 Southampton 33 13 4 16 -13 43
14 Crystal Palace 33 11 9 13 -12 42
15 Brighton 33 8 12 13 -9 36
16 West Ham 33 8 7 18 -18 31
17 Watford 33 6 10 17 -23 28
18 Aston Villa 33 7 6 20 -26 27
19 Bournemouth 33 7 6 20 -27 27
20 Norwich 33 5 6 22 -36 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tottenham Everton
0–1 M. Keane ⚽
own goal
24′
28′
🟨 Mason Holgate
36′
🔁 Y. Mina
↦ M. Holgate
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 A. Gordon
↦ A. Iwobi
Moussa Sissoko 🟨
48′
67′
🔁 Bernard
↦ G. Sigurðsson
Ben Davies 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 M. Kean
↦ T. Davies
77′
🔁 D. Sidibé
↦ S. Coleman
S. Bergwijn 🔁
↦ Son Heung-Min
78′
E. Lamela 🔁
↦ Lucas Moura
82′
Toby Alderweireld 🟨
83′
87′
🟨 André Gomes
J. Vertonghen 🔁
↦ G. Lo Celso
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-3-3
1 H. Lloris G
4 T. Alderweireld D
24 S. Aurier D
33 B. Davies D
17 M. Sissoko M
27 Lucas Moura F
15 E. Dier D
8 H. Winks M
18 G. Lo Celso M
7 Son Heung-Min F
10 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
23 S. Bergwijn
11 E. Lamela
5 J. Vertonghen
29 O. Skipp
77 D. Cirkin
28 T. Ndombèlé
30 Gedson Fernandes
22 P. Gazzaniga
6 D. Sánchez

Coach: José Mourinho

Everton

4-4-2
1 J. Pickford G
23 S. Coleman D
12 L. Digne D
5 M. Keane D
2 M. Holgate D
10 G. Sigurðsson M
21 André Gomes M
17 A. Iwobi M
26 T. Davies M
9 D. Calvert-Lewin F
7 Richarlison F
Bench (9)
13 Y. Mina
42 A. Gordon
20 Bernard
27 M. Kean
19 D. Sidibé
34 B. Baningime
3 L. Baines
32 J. Branthwaite
22 M. Stekelenburg

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
3,51
B
3,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Graham Scott · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.