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Premier League

Referee: Craig Pawson

Tottenham

T S S S U

4–0

Full-time

Everton

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Everton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,7

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 44%

55%

32%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

45%

Both score Ø 48%

50%

45%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

20 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 7

11 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tottenham 5. · Everton 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	22	20	2	0	+51	62
2	Man United	22	14	5	3	+29	47
3	Chelsea	23	14	5	4	+25	47
4	Liverpool	22	12	8	2	+25	44
5	Tottenham	22	12	5	5	+21	41
6	Arsenal	22	11	6	5	+12	39
7	Burnley	23	9	7	7	-1	34
8	Leicester	23	8	7	8	+2	31
9	Everton	22	7	6	9	-9	27
10	Watford	23	7	5	11	-9	26
11	West Ham	23	6	7	10	-12	25
12	Crystal Palace	23	6	7	10	-12	25
13	Huddersfield	23	6	6	11	-20	24
14	Newcastle	23	6	5	12	-10	23
15	Brighton	23	5	8	10	-12	23
16	Southampton	23	4	9	10	-11	21
17	Bournemouth	22	5	6	11	-12	21
18	Stoke	22	5	5	12	-24	20
19	West Brom	23	3	10	10	-12	19
20	Swansea	23	4	5	14	-21	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	11	10	1	0	+31	31
2	Man United	11	8	2	1	+19	26
3	Arsenal	11	8	2	1	+15	26
4	Chelsea	12	8	2	2	+14	26
5	Liverpool	11	6	5	0	+17	23
6	Tottenham	11	6	4	1	+13	22
7	Everton	11	6	1	4	+2	19
8	Leicester	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Burnley	11	5	2	4	+0	17
10	Crystal Palace	12	4	4	4	-3	16
11	Huddersfield	12	4	4	4	-5	16
12	Brighton	11	3	6	2	-2	15
13	West Ham	10	4	2	4	-3	14
14	Stoke	11	4	2	5	-7	14
15	Southampton	12	3	4	5	-3	13
16	West Brom	12	2	7	3	-3	13
17	Watford	12	3	4	5	-9	13
18	Bournemouth	11	3	3	5	-3	12
19	Newcastle	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Swansea	11	2	2	7	-11	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	11	10	1	0	+20	31
2	Chelsea	11	6	3	2	+11	21
3	Man United	11	6	3	2	+10	21
4	Liverpool	11	6	3	2	+8	21
5	Tottenham	11	6	1	4	+8	19
6	Burnley	12	4	5	3	-1	17
7	Leicester	12	3	5	4	+0	14
8	Watford	11	4	1	6	+0	13
9	Arsenal	11	3	4	4	-3	13
10	Newcastle	11	3	2	6	-6	11
11	West Ham	13	2	5	6	-9	11
12	Bournemouth	11	2	3	6	-9	9
13	Crystal Palace	11	2	3	6	-9	9
14	Swansea	12	2	3	7	-10	9
15	Southampton	11	1	5	5	-8	8
16	Brighton	12	2	2	8	-10	8
17	Everton	11	1	5	5	-11	8
18	Huddersfield	11	2	2	7	-15	8
19	West Brom	11	1	3	7	-9	6
20	Stoke	11	1	3	7	-17	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.