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Conference League
Referee: R Schröder
Twente
S U S S U
2–0
Full-time
Riga
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Riga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
This season — Conference League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%
25 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 9
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Twente Riga
1–0 A. Sampsted ⚽
11′
41′
🟨 Ngonda Muzinga
44′
🟨 Anthony Contreras
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Taiwo
↦ M. Regža
56′
🔁 Brian Peña
↦ M. Jojić
N. Ünüvar 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
64′
Y. Regeer 🔁
↦ M. Kjølø
64′
2–0 D. Rots ⚽
67′
Naci Ünüvar 🟨
69′
72′
🔁 M. Soisalo
↦ A. Contreras
73′
🔁 R. Jurkovskis
↦ P. Bosančić
73′
🔁 H. Babec
↦ Douglas Aurélio
84′
🟨 Baba Musah
G. Besselink 🔁
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
84′
M. Rots 🔁
↦ A. Sampsted
84′
86′
🟨 Antonijs Černomordijs
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
12 A. Sampsted D
2 M. Hilgers D
3 R. Pröpper D
20 J. Brenet D
4 M. Kjølø M
23 M. Sadílek M
11 D. Rots M
18 M. Vlap M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel M
27 M. Ugalde F
Bench (8)
10 N. Ünüvar
8 Y. Regeer
41 G. Besselink
39 M. Rots
38 M. Bruns
16 I. El Maach
22 P. Tytoń
24 J. Mesbahi

Coach: J. Oosting

Riga

5-3-2
16 N. Puriņš G
77 G. Mankenda D
34 A. Černomordijs D
3 M. Ngom D
15 P. Bosančić D
25 G. Ngonda D
8 M. Jojić M
21 B. Musah M
10 Douglas Aurélio M
9 A. Contreras F
18 M. Regža F
Bench (10)
19 A. Taiwo
30 Brian Peña
11 M. Soisalo
13 R. Jurkovskis
14 H. Babec
24 L. Iberico
12 K. Zommers
93 K. Nguena
23 E. Dašķevičs
1 R. Matrevics

Coach: T. Stipić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.