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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Tromso
T T U S T
5–0
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
20%
48%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
60%
52%
Both score Ø 61%
65%
57%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 1
0 Offside 5
19 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 15. · Sarpsborg 08 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 21 13 5 3 +25 44
2 Sarpsborg 08 21 10 8 3 +13 38
3 Brann 21 10 7 4 +21 37
4 Molde 21 10 4 7 +9 34
5 Haugesund 20 8 6 6 +3 30
6 Sandefjord 21 9 3 9 -3 30
7 Stabaek 22 8 6 8 -7 30
8 Stromsgodset 22 7 8 7 -1 29
9 Odd 20 8 4 8 -7 28
10 Lillestrom 21 7 6 8 -2 27
11 Aalesund 21 6 7 8 -1 25
12 Valerenga 20 6 6 8 -3 24
13 Sogndal 21 6 5 10 -7 23
14 Kristiansund 21 5 7 9 -8 22
15 Tromso 20 4 6 10 -17 18
16 Viking 21 3 6 12 -15 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Sarpsborg 08
1–0 S. Wangberg
Morten Pedersen
13′
2–0 C. Landu Landu
16′
3–0 M. Bakenga
T. Olsen
26′
4–0 S. Wangberg
Morten Pedersen
41′
Half-time 4–0
K. Antonsen 🔁
↦ L. Nilsen
50′
M. Ingebrigtsen 🔁
↦ Morten Pedersen
57′
5–0 M. Ingebrigtsen
C. Landu Landu
59′
63′
🔁 O. Halvorsen
↦ M. Lund Nielsen
67′
🔁 K. Diatta
↦ P. Mortensen
80′
🟨 Andreas Albech
81′
🔁 T. Hovda
↦ N. Poulsen
J. Gundersen 🔁
↦ C. Landu Landu
83′
87′
🟨 Tor Oyvind Hovda
Magnar Odegaard 🟨
90′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Tromso

3-4-3
1 G. Kongshavn G
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
25 L. Nilsen M
7 Morten Pedersen M
15 M. Andersen M
6 C. Landu Landu M
8 U. Jenssen D
10 T. Olsen F
42 M. Bakenga F
23 G. Åsen F
Bench (7)
3 K. Antonsen
24 M. Ingebrigtsen
26 J. Gundersen
40 Javi Jiménez
4 M. Dioury
9 S. Vuk
17 A. Sigurdarson

Coach: B. Flovik

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
21 A. Kristiansen
13 O. Hansen D
20 A. Østli D
29 A. Groven D
2 A. Albech D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
6 N. Poulsen M
17 K. Zachariassen M
24 Nenass M
10 J. Lindberg F
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
7 O. Halvorsen
19 K. Diatta
18 T. Hovda
1 S. Čupić
11 J. Jørgensen
15 S. Rosted
16 J. Thomassen

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.