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Eliteserien
Referee: Martin Lundby
Sarpsborg 08
U U S S U
0–0
Full-time
Stromsgodset
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 40%
47%
32%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
53%
37%
Both score Ø 61%
58%
63%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 3. · Stromsgodset 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 20 12 5 3 +23 41
2 Brann 20 9 7 4 +20 34
3 Sarpsborg 08 19 9 7 3 +12 34
4 Molde 20 9 4 7 +8 31
5 Haugesund 19 8 5 6 +3 29
6 Stabaek 20 8 5 7 -5 29
7 Odd 19 8 4 7 -6 28
8 Sandefjord 20 8 3 9 -5 27
9 Lillestrom 20 7 5 8 -2 26
10 Stromsgodset 19 6 7 6 -1 25
11 Aalesund 20 6 6 8 -1 24
12 Valerenga 19 6 6 7 -2 24
13 Sogndal 20 6 5 9 -6 23
14 Kristiansund 20 4 7 9 -11 19
15 Tromso 19 4 6 9 -14 18
16 Viking 20 3 6 11 -13 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Stromsgodset
34′
🟨 Marcus Pedersen
37′
🔁 Francisco Júnior
↦ T. Nguen
Half-time 0–0
57′
🟨 Kim Andre Madsen
59′
🔁 M. Høibråten
↦ K. Madsen
Kristoffer Zachariassen 🟨
64′
N. Poulsen 🔁
↦ T. Heintz
70′
72′
🟨 Jakob Glesnes
Joachim Thomassen 🟨
82′
82′
🟨 Kristoffer Tokstad
Amin Askar 🟨
83′
90′
🔁 A. Hoven
↦ K. Tokstad
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
21 A. Kristiansen
11 J. Jørgensen D
16 J. Thomassen D
15 S. Rosted D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
7 O. Halvorsen M
17 K. Zachariassen M
14 T. Heintz M
19 K. Diatta F
77 A. Askar D
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
6 N. Poulsen
1 S. Čupić
2 A. Albech
10 J. Lindberg
13 O. Hansen
18 T. Hovda
20 A. Østli

Coach: G. Bakke

Stromsgodset

4-1-4-1
1 E. Pettersen G
4 K. Madsen D
3 J. Parr D
26 L. Vilsvik D
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
11 K. Tokstad M
23 E. Andersen M
93 T. Nguen M
8 Bassel Jradi M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
19 Francisco Júnior
28 M. Høibråten
66 A. Hoven
9 P. Engblom
20 P. Heigre
21 M. Gjerstrøm
25 S. Ringstad

Coach: T. Skullerud

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Martin Lundby · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.