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La Liga

Referee: David Medie Jimenez

Las Palmas

S S T T T

2–5

Full-time

Celta

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

71%

Both score Ø 50%

29%

71%

Average goals

2,6

3,4

Scored

0,7

1,9

Conceded

1,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

59% Possession 41%

24 Shots 14

11 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

14 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Las Palmas 18. · Celta 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	1	0	+21	22
2	Valencia	8	5	3	0	+11	18
3	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Ath Madrid	8	4	4	0	+8	16
5	Sevilla	8	5	1	2	+5	16
6	Leganes	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Sociedad	8	4	1	3	+2	13
8	Villarreal	8	4	1	3	+1	13
9	Betis	8	4	1	3	+0	13
10	Ath Bilbao	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Levante	8	2	4	2	-2	10
12	Espanol	8	2	3	3	-4	9
13	Celta	7	2	2	3	+2	8
14	Getafe	8	2	2	4	+1	8
15	La Coruna	8	2	2	4	-7	8
16	Eibar	8	2	1	5	-14	7
17	Girona	8	1	3	4	-6	6
18	Las Palmas	7	2	0	5	-8	6
19	Alaves	8	1	0	7	-9	3
20	Malaga	8	0	1	7	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Valencia	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Sevilla	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Betis	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Levante	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
7	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
9	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	La Coruna	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	Real Madrid	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Celta	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Leganes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Girona	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	Getafe	4	1	0	3	+1	3
18	Las Palmas	3	1	0	2	-5	3
19	Malaga	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Alaves	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+5	9
4	Leganes	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Sociedad	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Valencia	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Sevilla	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Villarreal	5	2	0	3	-4	6
9	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Ath Bilbao	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Betis	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Celta	3	1	0	2	+2	3
13	Alaves	4	1	0	3	-1	3
14	Las Palmas	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Eibar	4	1	0	3	-10	3
16	Girona	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Levante	3	0	2	1	-4	2
19	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-7	2
20	Malaga	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.