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Conference League
Referee: I McNabb
Austria Vienna
S S S S T
4–3
Full-time
Ilves
S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Ilves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Jul -24 Ilves – Austria Vienna 2–1

Match report

Austria Vienna Ilves
M. Vinlöf 🔁
↦ H. Guenouche
6′
1–0 M. Malone ⚽
22′
2–0 A. Gruber ⚽
27′
30′
⚽ L. Ala-Myllymäki 2–1
Half-time 2–1
57′
🔁 R. Riski
↦ L. Ala-Myllymäki
Reinhold Ranftl 🟨
58′
L. Pazourek 🔁
↦ M. Potzmann
61′
N. Prelec 🔁
↦ M. Malone
62′
3–1 A. Barry ⚽
68′
78′
🔁 M. Söderbäck
↦ O. Jukkola
78′
🔁 V. Ulundu
↦ Jorginho
M. Husković 🔁
↦ A. Gruber
80′
M. Meisl 🔁
↦ M. Martins
80′
89′
⚽ A. Mäenpää 3–2
Muharem Husković 🟨
93′
95′
🟨 Juhani Pikkarainen
4–2 N. Prelec ⚽
97′
Dominik Fitz 🟨
99′
99′
🟨 Doni Arifi
101′
🟨 Anton Popovitch
105′
🔁 J. Akpudje
↦ A. Mäenpää
107′
🟨 Vincent Ulundu
112′
⚽ M. Söderbäck 4–3
T. Plavotić 🔁
↦ R. Ranftl
116′
121′
🔁 O. Virtanen
↦ V. Seppä
121′
⚽ D. Arifi 4–4
5–4 M. Fischer ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ A. Popovitch 5–5
6–5 Lucas Galvão ⚽
124′
125′
⚽ S. Haarala 6–6
126′
⚽ J. Pikkarainen 6–7
7–7 M. Vinlöf ⚽
127′
8–7 M. Meisl ⚽
128′
129′
⚽ R. Riski 8–8
D. Fitz ❌
penalty missed
130′
Full-time 8–8

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

4-3-3
1 S. Şahin-Radlinger G
26 R. Ranftl D
66 M. Martins D
3 Lucas Galvão D
21 H. Guenouche D
19 M. Potzmann M
5 A. Barry M
30 M. Fischer M
17 A. Gruber F
77 M. Malone F
36 D. Fitz F
Bench (10)
18 M. Vinlöf
2 L. Pazourek
11 N. Prelec
9 M. Husković
40 M. Meisl
24 T. Plavotić
37 M. Wels
70 Cristiano
99 M. Kos
13 L. Wedl

Coach: S. Helm

Ilves

4-3-3
12 V. Seppä G
22 A. Mäenpää D
16 T. Miettunen D
5 J. Pikkarainen D
3 Jorginho D
14 A. Popovitch M
6 D. Arifi M
7 J. Veteli M
19 O. Jukkola F
29 S. Haarala F
15 L. Ala-Myllymäki F
Bench (9)
10 R. Riski
17 M. Söderbäck
9 V. Ulundu
44 J. Akpudje
1 O. Virtanen
2 M. Kivikko
31 D. Bulgakov
32 L. Väyrynen
27 J. Riissanen

Coach: J. Rantanen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.