← Match Finder
Premiership
Referee: E Anderson
St Mirren
U T T T S
0–1
Full-time
Kilmarnock
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

St Mirren Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 37%
37%
37%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
49%
43%
Both score Ø 47%
40%
54%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
10 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 5. · Kilmarnock 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 36 27 6 3 +59 87
2 Rangers 36 26 3 7 +52 81
3 Hearts 35 19 6 10 +9 63
4 Kilmarnock 35 13 13 9 +6 52
5 St Mirren 35 13 7 15 -4 46
6 Hibernian 35 10 12 13 -6 42
7 Aberdeen 35 10 11 14 -12 41
8 Dundee 35 10 11 14 -13 41
9 Motherwell 35 9 13 13 -3 40
10 Ross County 35 8 9 18 -25 33
11 ST Johnstone 36 7 10 19 -26 31
12 Livingston 36 5 9 22 -37 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Mar -24 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 5–2 27. Dec -23 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–1 30. Sep -23 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 1–1 22. Apr -23 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–2 2. Jan -23 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 0–0

Match report

St Mirren Kilmarnock
37′
⚽ K. Vassell 0–1
M. Watkins
Half-time 0–1
K. Baccus 🔁
↦ C. Boyd-Munce
67′
J. Scott 🔁
↦ S. Tanser
67′
L. Jamieson 🔁
↦ R. Strain
68′
70′
🟨 Danny Armstrong
76′
🔁 I. Cameron
↦ K. Vassell
80′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ D. Armstrong
R. Taylor 🔁
↦ J. Bolton
83′
85′
🟨 Will Dennis
91′
🔁 F. Murray
↦ M. Kennedy
91′
🔁 G. Stewart
↦ M. Watkins
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 Z. Hemming G
2 J. Bolton D
13 A. Gogić D
22 M. Fraser D
23 R. Strain M
6 M. O'Hara M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
3 S. Tanser M
10 C. McMenamin F
9 M. Mandron F
20 T. Olusanya F
Bench (9)
17 K. Baccus
14 J. Scott
24 L. Jamieson
5 R. Taylor
42 E. Bwomono
33 E. Mooney
18 C. Dunne
21 J. Brown
27 P. Urminský

Coach: S. Robinson

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
1 W. Dennis G
5 L. Mayo D
6 R. Deas D
17 S. Findlay D
3 C. Ndaba D
11 D. Armstrong M
22 L. Donnelly M
12 D. Watson M
10 M. Kennedy M
23 M. Watkins F
9 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
18 I. Cameron
7 R. McKenzie
15 F. Murray
21 G. Stewart
39 G. Mackay-Steven
19 T. Davies
99 K. van Veen
31 L. Polworth
20 K. O'Hara

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,67
🔒
U
3,06
🔒
B ✓
2,77
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,29
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,60
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Anderson · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.