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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
St Mirren
T T T S T
2–2
Full-time
Hearts
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 46%
36%
56%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
47%
42%
Both score Ø 39%
39%
39%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 5. · Hearts 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 37 28 6 3 +64 90
2 Rangers 37 27 3 7 +55 84
3 Hearts 36 20 6 10 +12 66
4 Kilmarnock 37 14 13 10 +2 55
5 St Mirren 36 13 7 16 -5 46
6 Aberdeen 36 11 11 14 -8 44
7 Motherwell 36 10 13 13 +1 43
8 Hibernian 36 10 12 14 -10 42
9 Dundee 37 10 11 16 -19 41
10 Ross County 37 8 10 19 -29 34
11 ST Johnstone 37 7 11 19 -26 32
12 Livingston 36 5 9 22 -37 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Apr -24 St Mirren – Hearts 1–2 23. Dec -23 Hearts – St Mirren 2–0 23. Sep -23 St Mirren – Hearts 1–0 13. May -23 St Mirren – Hearts 2–2 8. Apr -23 Hearts – St Mirren 0–2

Match report

St Mirren Hearts
1–0 J. Scott ⚽
7′
20′
⚽ K. Tagawa 1–1
C. Devlin
Half-time 1–1
C. Boyd-Munce 🔁
↦ J. Scott
59′
T. Olusanya 🔁
↦ J. Brown
59′
59′
🔁 L. Shankland
↦ A. Forrest
60′
🔁 M. Tait
↦ C. Devlin
2–1 J. Bolton ⚽
C. Boyd-Munce
65′
M. Fraser 🔁
↦ R. Taylor
70′
E. Bwomono 🔁
↦ S. Tanser
70′
71′
🔁 J. Wilson
↦ A. Denholm
71′
🔁 L. Boyce
↦ K. Tagawa
73′
⚽ L. Shankland 2–2
78′
🔁 Y. Oda
↦ D. Lembikisa
C. Dunne 🔁
↦ J. Bolton
84′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 Z. Hemming G
2 J. Bolton D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
21 J. Brown M
6 M. O'Hara M
17 K. Baccus M
3 S. Tanser M
10 C. McMenamin F
9 M. Mandron F
14 J. Scott F
Bench (9)
15 C. Boyd-Munce
20 T. Olusanya
22 M. Fraser
42 E. Bwomono
18 C. Dunne
24 L. Jamieson
33 E. Mooney
27 P. Urminský
23 R. Strain

Coach: S. Robinson

Hearts

3-5-2
1 C. Gordon G
21 T. Sibbick D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
81 D. Lembikisa M
14 C. Devlin M
22 A. Denholm M
29 S. Fraser M
19 A. Cochrane M
17 A. Forrest F
30 K. Tagawa F
Bench (9)
9 L. Shankland
25 M. Tait
54 J. Wilson
10 L. Boyce
11 Y. Oda
18 B. McKay
13 N. Atkinson
28 Z. Clark
77 K. Vargas

Coach: S. Naismith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,70
🔒
U ✓
3,29
🔒
B
2,60
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,97
🔒
U2,5
1,81
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.