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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Lillestrom

U T T S T

4–0

Full-time

Aalesund

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,3

This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 27%

31%

23%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

54%

42%

Both score Ø 62%

62%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

22 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 2

4 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 12. · Aalesund 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	27	17	7	3	+37	58
2	Molde	27	15	5	7	+15	50
3	Sarpsborg 08	27	12	11	4	+14	47
4	Stromsgodset	27	12	8	7	+6	44
5	Brann	27	12	7	8	+14	43
6	Haugesund	27	11	6	10	+1	39
7	Odd	27	11	6	10	-6	39
8	Valerenga	27	10	6	11	+5	36
9	Stabaek	27	9	8	10	-7	35
10	Sandefjord	27	10	3	14	-12	33
11	Kristiansund	27	7	10	10	-5	31
12	Lillestrom	26	8	7	11	-6	31
13	Tromso	27	8	7	12	-11	31
14	Sogndal	27	7	7	13	-11	28
15	Aalesund	26	6	8	12	-9	26
16	Viking	27	4	6	17	-25	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stromsgodset	14	9	3	2	+13	30
2	Sarpsborg 08	14	8	5	1	+18	29
3	Odd	13	9	2	2	+8	29
4	Rosenborg	14	8	4	2	+18	28
5	Molde	13	9	1	3	+13	28
6	Valerenga	14	7	4	3	+12	25
7	Brann	13	7	3	3	+13	24
8	Sandefjord	13	7	2	4	+7	23
9	Haugesund	13	6	5	2	+6	23
10	Kristiansund	14	5	7	2	+5	22
11	Tromso	14	5	5	4	+4	20
12	Lillestrom	13	6	2	5	+0	20
13	Stabaek	14	6	2	6	-1	20
14	Sogndal	13	5	4	4	+5	19
15	Aalesund	13	4	4	5	+2	16
16	Viking	13	2	3	8	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	13	9	3	1	+19	30
2	Molde	14	6	4	4	+2	22
3	Brann	14	5	4	5	+1	19
4	Sarpsborg 08	13	4	6	3	-4	18
5	Haugesund	14	5	1	8	-5	16
6	Stabaek	13	3	6	4	-6	15
7	Stromsgodset	13	3	5	5	-7	14
8	Lillestrom	13	2	5	6	-6	11
9	Valerenga	13	3	2	8	-7	11
10	Tromso	13	3	2	8	-15	11
11	Aalesund	13	2	4	7	-11	10
12	Odd	14	2	4	8	-14	10
13	Sandefjord	14	3	1	10	-19	10
14	Kristiansund	13	2	3	8	-10	9
15	Viking	14	2	3	9	-14	9
16	Sogndal	14	2	3	9	-16	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.