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Eliteserien
Referee: Martin Lundby
Aalesund
U U T U T
0–1
Full-time
Sogndal
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
45%
59%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
18 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 11. · Sogndal 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 22 14 5 3 +28 47
2 Brann 22 11 7 4 +22 40
3 Sarpsborg 08 22 10 8 4 +8 38
4 Molde 22 11 4 7 +10 37
5 Haugesund 22 10 6 6 +5 36
6 Odd 22 9 5 8 -6 32
7 Sandefjord 22 9 3 10 -4 30
8 Stabaek 22 8 6 8 -7 30
9 Stromsgodset 22 7 8 7 -1 29
10 Lillestrom 22 7 7 8 -2 28
11 Aalesund 22 6 7 9 -2 25
12 Valerenga 21 6 6 9 -6 24
13 Kristiansund 22 5 8 9 -8 23
14 Sogndal 22 6 5 11 -8 23
15 Tromso 22 5 7 10 -12 22
16 Viking 23 3 6 14 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Sogndal
34′
E. Schulze 0–1
G. Koomson
Half-time 0–1
E. Gyasi 🔁
↦ Marlinho
54′
57′
🟨 Eirik Schulze
65′
🟨 Martin Ramsland
S. Fet 🔁
↦ A. Þrándarson
66′
V. Berisha 🔁
↦ A. Papazoglou
72′
85′
🔁 J. Hove
↦ E. Schulze
Jørgen Hatlehol 🟨
86′
89′
🔁 B. Bye
↦ G. Koomson
96′
🔁 P. Steiring
↦ C. Nwakali
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

4-4-2
1 A. Lie G
5 O. Lie D
2 M. Kirkeskov D
3 D. Grétarsson D
38 J. Hatlehol M
8 F. Carlsen M
11 A. Þrándarson M
18 V. Hoff M
15 Marlinho F
30 M. Abdellaoue F
10 A. Papazoglou F
Bench (7)
14 E. Gyasi
17 S. Fet
9 V. Berisha
25 J. Urke
33 A. Waagan
36 E. Solnørdal
37 J. Barstad

Coach: T. Fredriksen

Sogndal

3-4-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
2 T. Teniste D
40 E. Hovland D
5 V. Grodås D
16 R. Greenidge D
31 U. Fredriksen D
27 E. Birkelund M
7 E. Schulze F
10 G. Koomson F
4 C. Nwakali M
11 M. Ramsland F
Bench (7)
28 J. Hove
18 B. Bye
15 P. Steiring
39 M. Fofana
30 J. Soltvedt
77 S. Mandić
13 T. Omenås

Coach: E. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Martin Lundby · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.