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Eliteserien
Lillestrom
S T T S U
3–1
Full-time
Aalesund
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 34%
32%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
55%
64%
Both score Ø 66%
64%
68%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 9. · Aalesund 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 22 16 4 2 +38 52
2 Stabaek 22 13 5 4 +15 44
3 Viking 22 13 1 8 +15 40
4 Stromsgodset 22 12 3 7 +13 39
5 Odd 22 10 8 4 +11 38
6 Valerenga 22 11 3 8 +6 36
7 Molde 22 9 7 6 +19 34
8 Bodo/Glimt 22 10 2 10 -1 32
9 Lillestrom 22 7 8 7 -4 29
10 Aalesund 22 8 4 10 -14 28
11 Haugesund 23 7 6 10 -14 27
12 Sarpsborg 08 22 5 8 9 -7 23
13 Mjondalen 23 4 8 11 -19 20
14 Tromso 23 4 7 12 -13 19
15 Start 22 5 4 13 -16 19
16 Sandefjord 23 3 4 16 -29 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Apr -15 Aalesund – Lillestrom 1–1

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.