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Conference League
Referee: S Schärer
Djurgarden
T T S U S
1–4
Full-time
Chelsea
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 16/12 matches
Win Ø 73%
63%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
56%
75%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,7
3,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,52 xG 2,17
42% Possession 58%
16 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Djurgarden Chelsea
12′
⚽ J. Sancho 0–1
E. Fernández
43′
⚽ N. Madueke 0–2
E. Fernández
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 N. Jackson
↦ N. Madueke
46′
🔁 T. Chalobah
↦ Marc Cucurella
46′
🔁 M. Caicedo
↦ R. James
46′
🔁 C. Palmer
↦ E. Fernández
59′
⚽ N. Jackson 0–3
C. Palmer
I. Alemayehu 🔁
↦ S. Haarala
63′
M. Tenho 🔁
↦ M. Danielson
64′
65′
⚽ N. Jackson 0–4
M. Caicedo
1–4 I. Alemayehu ⚽
T. Gulliksen
68′
V. Bergh 🔁
↦ K. Kosugi
80′
82′
🟨 Moisés Caicedo
88′
🔁 R. Walsh
↦ T. George
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Tosin Adarabioyo
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Djurgarden

4-2-3-1
35 J. Rinne G
18 A. Ståhl D
4 J. Une Larsson D
3 M. Danielson D
27 K. Kosugi D
14 H. Finndell M
13 D. Stensson M
29 S. Haarala M
16 T. Gulliksen M
26 A. Priske M
20 T. Nguen F
Bench (7)
32 I. Alemayehu
5 M. Tenho
19 V. Bergh
37 C. Selfvén
40 M. Croon
36 A. Atlee Manneh
38 M. Vučenović Persson

Coach: J. Honkavaara

Chelsea

4-2-3-1
12 F. Jørgensen G
34 J. Acheampong D
4 T. Adarabioyo D
5 B. Badiashile D
3 Marc Cucurella D
8 E. Fernández M
24 R. James M
11 N. Madueke M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
19 J. Sancho M
32 T. George F
Bench (12)
15 N. Jackson
23 T. Chalobah
25 M. Caicedo
20 C. Palmer
81 R. Walsh
7 Pedro Neto
39 M. Amougou
76 S. Mheuka
6 L. Colwill
27 M. Gusto
47 L. Bergström
43 T. Curd

Coach: E. Maresca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.