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Serie B
Referee: F Cosso
Modena
T S S T S
2–3
Full-time
Reggiana
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
24%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
41%
Both score Ø 56%
62%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

57% Possession 43%
8 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Modena 9. · Reggiana 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 34 24 6 4 +41 78
2 Pisa 34 20 7 7 +24 67
3 Spezia 34 15 15 4 +24 60
4 Cremonese 34 15 11 8 +18 56
5 Juve Stabia 35 14 11 10 +2 53
6 Palermo 34 13 9 12 +9 48
7 Catanzaro 35 10 18 7 +4 48
8 Bari 34 9 17 8 +3 44
9 Modena 34 10 14 10 +1 44
10 Cesena 34 11 11 12 -1 44
11 Carrarese 34 10 11 13 -8 41
12 Frosinone 34 8 15 11 -11 39
13 Sudtirol 34 10 8 16 -9 38
14 Mantova 34 8 13 13 -11 37
15 Salernitana 34 9 9 16 -11 36
16 Cittadella 34 9 9 16 -22 36
17 Brescia 34 7 14 13 -8 35
18 Sampdoria 34 7 14 13 -12 35
19 Reggiana 34 8 11 15 -12 35
20 Cosenza 34 6 13 15 -21 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Modena Reggiana
15′
M. Portanova 0–1
0–2 P. Rozzio
own goal
30′
0–3 F. Bardi
own goal
43′
Half-time 0–3
50′
🟨 Manuel Marras
59′
🔁 E. Kabashi
↦ T. Reinhart
60′
🔁 N. Girma
↦ A. Sersanti
62′
🟨 Elvis Kabashi
Pedro Mendes 🔁
↦ G. Defrel
64′
K. Bozhanaj 🔁
↦ G. Caso
64′
Antonio Palumbo 🟨
66′
70′
N. Girma 0–4
S. Vulikić 🔁
↦ C. Cauz
72′
M. Cotali 🔁
↦ R. Idrissi
72′
79′
🟨 Natan Girma
I. Kamate 🔁
↦ A. Palumbo
80′
84′
🟨 Lorenzo Lucchesi
86′
C. Gondo 0–5
N. Girma
87′
🟨 Cedric Gondo
Gady Beyuku 🟨
89′
89′
🔁 J. Kumi
↦ L. Ignacchiti
90′
🔁 L. Štulac
↦ M. Portanova
Pedro Mendes 🟥
92′
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Modena

3-4-2-1
26 R. Gagno G
6 L. Magnino D
19 G. Zaro D
33 C. Cauz D
2 G. Beyuku M
16 F. Gerli M
8 S. Santoro M
27 R. Idrissi M
10 A. Palumbo F
20 G. Caso F
92 G. Defrel F
Bench (12)
11 Pedro Mendes
21 K. Bozhanaj
14 S. Vulikić
29 M. Cotali
93 I. Kamate
24 M. Oliva
31 Eric Botteghin
4 A. Pergreffi
1 A. Seculin
3 F. Ponsi
9 E. Gliozzi
7 E. Duca

Coach: P. Mandelli

Reggiana

3-5-2
22 F. Bardi G
17 L. Libutti D
4 P. Rozzio D
44 L. Lucchesi D
15 R. Fiamozzi M
5 A. Sersanti M
16 T. Reinhart M
25 L. Ignacchiti M
7 M. Marras M
11 C. Gondo F
90 M. Portanova F
Bench (10)
77 E. Kabashi
80 N. Girma
55 J. Kumi
6 L. Štulac
87 Y. Nahounou
1 E. Motta
21 M. Destro
99 A. Sposito
27 M. Maggio
3 J. Sosa

Coach: D. Dionigi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U
3,12
B ✓
3,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,36
U2,5
1,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.