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Conference League
Referee: Peiman Simani
Kauno Žalgiris
T U T T
3–0
Full-time
Penybont
U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kauno Žalgiris Penybont
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Kauno Žalgiris Penybont
0–1 G. Kircough ⚽
own goal
18′
23′
🟨 Jacob Jones
1–1 G. Sirgedas ⚽
24′
40′
🟨 Mael Davies
Half-time 2–1
2–1 D. Pavlovic ⚽
F. Ourega
46′
64′
🟨 Mael Davies
64′
🟥 Mael Davies
68′
🔁 K. Owen
↦ J. Jones
68′
🔁 N. Wood
↦ O. Pritchard
74′
🔁 J. Woodiwiss
↦ M. Little
F. Cernych 🔁
↦ G. Sirgedas
75′
D. Naah 🔁
↦ T. Chogadze
76′
E. Burdzilauskas 🔁
↦ A. Benchaib
88′
V. Paulauskas 🔁
↦ F. Ourega
88′
88′
🔁 J. Clay
↦ A. Baker
V. Armanavicius 🔁
↦ R. Jansonas
89′
93′
🟨 Kai Ludvigsen
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kauno Žalgiris

55 T. Svedkauskas G
21 H. Bah-Traore D
3 A. Tolordava D
23 A. Hernandez D
37 N. Iyobosa Edokpolor D
10 G. Sirgedas M
6 D. Pavlovic M
9 T. Chogadze M
7 A. Benchaib M
70 F. Ourega M
19 R. Jansonas F
Bench (12)
22 D. Mikelionis
35 J. Miksiunas
2 T. Burdzilauskas
5 D. Kerkez
8 V. Armanavicius
11 F. Cernych
14 D. Naah
20 R. Lekiatas
28 E. Burdzilauskas
30 N. Vosylius
66 E. Jurjonas
79 V. Paulauskas

Penybont

3-4-3
1 L. Armstrong G
30 M. Little D
2 K. Ludvigsen D
4 G. Kircough D
6 M. Davies M
21 A. Baker D
29 C. Green M
18 J. Jones D
11 N. Daley F
10 J. Crole F
8 O. Pritchard M
Bench (9)
20 A. Best
35 J. Price
3 K. Owen
5 J. Woodiwiss
7 N. Wood
14 I. Phillips
15 J. Clay
16 B. Borge
17 O. Warlow

Coach: Rhys Thomas Griffiths

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.