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Europa League
Referee: Jacob Karlsen
AEK Larnaca
U U T T T
1–0
Full-time
FK Partizan
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Larnaca FK Partizan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Aug -22 FK Partizan – AEK Larnaca 2–2 4. Aug -22 AEK Larnaca – FK Partizan 2–1

Match report

AEK Larnaca FK Partizan
19′
🟨 Vukašin Đurđević
Half-time 0–0
J. Gnali 🔁
↦ A. Garcia
65′
65′
🔁 Y. Karabelyov
↦ O. Ugresic
65′
🔁 N. Simic
↦ M. Milovanovic
1–0 E. Cabrera ⚽
W. Rubio
67′
74′
🔁 A. Kostic
↦ J. Milosevic
74′
🔁 M. Vukotic
↦ B. Natcho
K. Angielski 🔁
↦ E. Cabrera
75′
Miramon 🔁
↦ M. Rohden
75′
Pere Pons 🟨
78′
Jimmy Suarez 🔁
↦ Y. Chacon
86′
D. Ivanovic 🔁
↦ W. Rubio
86′
86′
🔁 B. Kostic
↦ N. Trifunovic
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AEK Larnaca

4-3-1-2
1 Z. Alomerovic G
22 G. Ekpolo D
27 V. Roberge D
15 H. Milicevic D
14 A. Garcia D
17 P. Pons M
8 M. Rohden M
7 Ledes Gustavo M
18 Y. Chacon M
10 W. Rubio M
30 E. Cabrera F
Bench (12)
51 A. Paraskevas
99 D. Demetriou
2 P. Ioannou
6 Jimmy Suarez
9 D. Ivanovic
19 K. Angielski
21 Miramon
24 Danny Henriques
36 C. Loukaidis
41 Mathias Gonzalez
44 K. Evripidou
93 J. Gnali

Coach: Joseba Imanol Idiakez Barkaiztegi

FK Partizan

4-2-3-1
1 M. Milosevic G
30 M. Roganovic D
24 V. Djurdjevic D
5 M. Milovanovic D
4 M. Jurcevic D
36 O. Ugresic M
6 V. Dragojevic M
15 A. Kalulu M
10 B. Natcho M
32 N. Trifunovic
7 J. Milosevic F
Bench (12)
31 M. Krunic
2 A. Stojkovic
9 A. Kostic
11 M. Vukotic
19 D. Seck
28 Y. Karabelyov
33 S. Petrovic
40 N. Simic
42 D. Jovanovic
70 D. Jankovic
90 Z. Alilovic
99 B. Kostic

Coach: Srđan Blagojević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jacob Karlsen · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.