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Conference League
Referee: M Kristoffersen
1–2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kauno Žalgiris Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,3
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

8 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Kauno Žalgiris Lech Poznan
4′
🟨 Filip Marchwiński
14′
F. Marchwiński 0–1
Half-time 0–1
R. Latouchent 🔁
↦ A. Karvatskyi
46′
46′
🔁 M. Pingot
↦ A. Milić
46′
🔁 N. Kvekveskiri
↦ Afonso Sousa
61′
🔁 A. Ba Loua
↦ F. Wilak
N. Valskis 🔁
↦ Xabi Auzmendi
64′
K. Šilkaitis 🔁
↦ V. Armanavičius
64′
A. Dolžnikov 🔁
↦ G. Sirgedas
64′
69′
🔁 D. Hotić
↦ F. Szymczak
75′
🔁 A. Czerwiński
↦ M. Blažič
Edvinas Kloniūnas 🟨
81′
A. Kučys 🔁
↦ E. Kloniūnas
81′
83′
🟨 Maksymilian Pingot
Karolis Uzėla 🟨
87′
91′
A. Ba Loua 0–2
1–2 K. Uzėla
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kauno Žalgiris

5-3-2
22 D. Mikelionis G
43 J. Noslin D
80 E. Kloniūnas M
99 M. Spano D
93 E. Girdvainis D
97 A. Karvatskyi D
10 G. Sirgedas M
14 K. Uzėla M
17 V. Armanavičius M
11 Xabi Auzmendi F
88 A. Fase F
Bench (11)
70 R. Latouchent
9 N. Valskis
15 K. Šilkaitis
7 A. Dolžnikov
47 A. Kučys
83 P. Nainys
13 I. Plūkas
18 M. Sincere
30 N. Vosylius
12 A. Bražinskas
16 A. Opeyemi

Coach: M. Stankevičius

Lech Poznan

4-1-4-1
41 B. Mrozek G
2 Joel Pereira D
23 M. Blažič D
16 A. Milić D
3 B. Douglas D
6 J. Karlström M
17 F. Szymczak F
10 F. Marchwiński M
7 Afonso Sousa M
54 F. Wilak F
90 A. Sobiech F
Bench (11)
55 M. Pingot
30 N. Kvekveskiri
50 A. Ba Loua
21 D. Hotić
44 A. Czerwiński
11 K. Velde
5 E. Andersson
22 R. Murawski
33 M. Pruchniewski
35 F. Bednarek
9 M. Ishak

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.