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Conference League
Referee: M Matosa
Pafos
T S T U U
4–2
Full-time
Dinamo Tirana
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos Dinamo Tirana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
0%
43%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 22%
0%
43%
Both score Ø 72%
100%
43%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
21 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
29 Free kicks against 22
6 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -26 Dinamo Tirana – Pafos 1–1

Match report

Pafos Dinamo Tirana
8′
⚽ D. Fadairo 0–1
R. Silva-Richards
1–1 K. Sema ⚽
13′
26′
🟨 Fabjan Perndreca
Half-time 1–1
56′
🟨 Klevi Qefalija
56′
🟨 Eridon Qardaku
62′
🔁 E. Hoxhallari
↦ F. Perndreca
Guga 🔁
↦ I. Sunjic
64′
70′
🔁 A. Alhassan
↦ E. Qardaku
70′
🔁 H. Berisha
↦ D. Fadairo
Guga ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
72′
N. Moumi Ngamaleu 🔁
↦ J. Correia
73′
2–1 N. Ioannou ⚽
N. Moumi Ngamaleu
78′
Lelê 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 F. Ruci
↦ K. Qefalija
83′
🔁 A. Ajzeraj
↦ M. Ayodeji
D. Quina 🔁
↦ K. Sema
84′
S. Mmaee 🔁
↦ V. Dragomir
85′
Anderson Silva 🔁
↦ Lele
85′
87′
⚽ R. Silva-Richards 2–2
B. Dita
Domingos Quina 🟨
91′
101′
🟨 Ysni Ismaili
Pêpê 🟨
104′
104′
🔁 F. Farruku
↦ U. Ismaili
David Luiz 🟨
106′
Bruno 🟨
112′
Samy Mmaee 🟨
113′
113′
🟨 Lorenco Vila
2–3 A. Teqja ⚽
own goal
116′
3–3 Anderson Silva ⚽
120′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Pafos

4-3-3
99 R. Majecki G
7 Bruno D
5 D. Goldar D
4 David Luiz D
14 N. Ioannou D
30 V. Dragomir M
26 I. Sunjic M
88 Pepe M
77 J. Correia F
18 Lele F
12 K. Sema F
Bench (12)
71 M. Papastylianou
82 P. Petrou
3 S. Mmaee
72 K. Ioannou
61 M. Kais
6 Guga
13 N. Moumi Ngamaleu
60 C. Efzona
8 D. Quina
33 Anderson Silva
20 Biel
42 G. Michael

Coach: Ricardo Sa Pinto

Dinamo Tirana

4-4-2
77 A. Teqja G
2 U. Ismaili
22 B. Dita D
27 N. Aliji D
13 F. Perndreca D
20 M. Ayodeji M
21 K. Qefalija M
8 E. Qardaku M
10 L. Vila M
33 D. Fadairo
11 R. Silva-Richards F
Bench (12)
1 E. Sali
97 T. Kiri
5 E. Hoxhallari
88 F. Ruci
28 I. Manellari
6 A. Alhassan
7 A. Ajzeraj
24 F. Farruku
29 H. Berisha
18 D. Metaj
45 B. Aniekan James
16 N. Bleta

Coach: Ilir Daja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.