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Europa League
Referee: Paweł Raczkowski
Pafos
U T T S T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos HNK Hajduk Split
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Pafos HNK Hajduk Split
David Goldar 🟨
12′
1–0 Guga
40′
Half-time 1–0
V. Dragomir 🔁
↦ Jaja
47′
Guga 🟨
50′
50′
🟨 Adrion Pajaziti
53′
🔁 A. Sanyang
↦ A. Guram
63′
🔁 N. Sigur
↦ M. Acapandie
63′
🔁 M. Livaja
↦ S. Hrgovic
Ivan Šunjić 🟨
68′
J. Correia 🔁
↦ D. Quina
71′
Pepe 🔁
↦ Guga
71′
K. Sema 🔁
↦ N. Ioannou
82′
M. Mammadov 🔁
↦ I. Sunjic
82′
85′
🔁 A. del Moral
↦ A. Pajaziti
2–0 D. Goldar
V. Dragomir
90′
3–0 Biel
93′
96′
🟨 Rokas Pukštas
98′
🔁 A. Sutalo
↦ D. de Almeida
A. Brito 🔁
↦ Biel
103′
106′
🔁 M. Skelin
↦ D. Maresic
4–0 J. Correia
Pepe
117′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Pafos

4-3-3
99 R. Majecki G
7 Bruno D
5 D. Goldar D
4 David Luiz D
14 N. Ioannou D
8 D. Quina M
26 I. Sunjic M
6 Guga M
20 Biel F
18 Lele F
11 Jaja M
Bench (12)
71 M. Papastylianou
82 P. Petrou
3 S. Mmaee
12 K. Sema
30 V. Dragomir
42 G. Michael
47 M. Mammadov
50 A. Brito
60 C. Evzona
72 K. Ioannou
77 J. Correia
88 Pepe

Coach: Albert Celades

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1
33 T. Silic G
22 M. Acapandie D
15 D. Maresic D
5 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
32 S. Hrgovic D
21 R. Pukstas M
4 A. Pajaziti M
26 A. Guram M
9 D. de Almeida M
17 D. Melnjak D
11 M. Sego F
Bench (12)
1 I. Ivusic
44 D. Stipica
7 A. Sanyang
8 N. Sigur
10 M. Livaja
14 R. Raci
16 A. Sutalo
19 E. Brruti
20 A. del Moral
36 M. Skelin
37 N. Skoko
38 L. Hodak

Coach: Gonzalo Garcia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Paweł Raczkowski · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.