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Europa League
Referee: Robert Harvey
HNK Hajduk Split
S S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Pafos
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HNK Hajduk Split Pafos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 0
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

HNK Hajduk Split Pafos
Adrion Pajaziti 🟨
4′
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 Nikolas Ioannou
1–0 M. Sego ⚽
56′
63′
🔁 Bruno
↦ D. Goldar
63′
🔁 A. Brito
↦ Pepe
64′
🟨 Alexandre Brito
2–0 D. Melnjak ⚽
M. Acapandie
64′
74′
🔁 D. Quina
↦ V. Dragomir
74′
🔁 Guga
↦ I. Sunjic
M. Livaja 🔁
↦ M. Sego
77′
A. del Moral 🔁
↦ D. de Almeida
77′
M. Skelin 🔁
↦ D. Maresic
77′
A. Guram 🔁
↦ D. Melnjak
83′
Adam Huram 🟨
87′
Alberto del Moral 🟨
88′
R. Raci 🔁
↦ S. Hrgovic
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1
33 T. Silic G
22 M. Acapandie D
15 D. Maresic D
5 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
32 S. Hrgovic D
21 R. Pukstas M
4 A. Pajaziti M
28 R. Brajkovic M
9 D. de Almeida M
17 D. Melnjak D
11 M. Sego F
Bench (12)
1 I. Ivusic
44 D. Stipica
7 A. Sanyang
10 M. Livaja
14 R. Raci
16 A. Sutalo
19 E. Brruti
20 A. del Moral
26 A. Guram
36 M. Skelin
37 N. Skoko
38 L. Hodak

Coach: Gonzalo Garcia

Pafos

3-4-3
99 R. Majecki G
5 D. Goldar D
4 David Luiz D
3 S. Mmaee D
11 Jaja M
88 Pepe M
26 I. Sunjic M
14 N. Ioannou D
30 V. Dragomir M
18 Lele F
20 Biel F
Bench (12)
71 M. Papastylianou
82 P. Petrou
7 Bruno
8 D. Quina
12 K. Sema
42 G. Michael
47 M. Mammadov
50 A. Brito
60 C. Evzona
61 M. Kais
72 K. Ioannou
6 Guga

Coach: Albert Celades

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.