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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Tromso
S T U T S
1–2
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 21%
25%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 11. · Sarpsborg 08 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 12 9 2 1 +16 29
2 Molde 12 7 3 2 +7 24
3 Odd 12 7 3 2 +7 24
4 Stromsgodset 12 7 2 3 +8 23
5 Haugesund 12 6 3 3 +6 21
6 Viking 12 6 2 4 +0 20
7 Brann 12 6 2 4 +0 20
8 Lillestrom 12 4 4 4 +3 16
9 Sarpsborg 08 12 4 4 4 -2 16
10 Sogndal 12 3 5 4 -1 14
11 Tromso 12 3 4 5 -8 13
12 Aalesund 12 3 2 7 -3 11
13 Bodo/Glimt 12 3 2 7 -4 11
14 Valerenga 12 3 1 8 -5 10
15 Stabaek 12 2 1 9 -12 7
16 Start 12 0 6 6 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Sarpsborg 08
2′
S. Ernemann 0–1
Gudmund Kongshavn 🟨
27′
27′
S. Ernemann 0–2
28′
🟨 Alexander Groven
29′
🔁 J. Tveita
↦ J. Lindberg
1–2 T. Olsen
G. Åsen
39′
Half-time 1–2
H. Gjesdal 🔁
↦ S. Wangberg
46′
59′
🟨 Steffen Ernemann
F. Michalsen 🔁
↦ C. Landu Landu
65′
R. Espejord 🔁
↦ M. Andersen
65′
Fredrik Michalsen 🟨
66′
69′
🟨 Joachim Thomassen
80′
🔁 O. Hansen
↦ P. Mortensen
92′
🔁 A. Østli
↦ P. Kirkevold
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Tromso

1 G. Kongshavn G
14 H. Norbye D
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
3 K. Antonsen M
15 M. Andersen M
6 C. Landu Landu M
24 M. Ingebrigtsen F
10 T. Olsen F
23 G. Åsen F
9 S. Moussa F
Bench (7)
4 H. Gjesdal
27 F. Michalsen
30 R. Espejord
11 J. Johansen
12 F. Lončarić
17 A. Sigurdarson
26 J. Gundersen

Sarpsborg 08

21 A. Kristiansen
16 J. Thomassen D
23 J. Glesnes D
29 A. Groven D
15 S. Rosted D
5 M. Lund Nielsen M
10 J. Lindberg F
17 S. Ernemann M
11 K. Tokstad M
69 P. Mortensen F
7 P. Kirkevold F
Bench (7)
22 J. Tveita
13 O. Hansen
20 A. Østli
1 A. Østbø
18 T. Hovda
19 K. Jónsson
24 A. Mbedule

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.