Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Kongsvinger
Fredrikstad
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sandefjord
|
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 29 |
| 2 |
Kristiansund
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 27 |
| 3 |
Levanger
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 |
Sandnes ULF
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |
Asane
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 |
Kongsvinger
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 18 |
| 7 |
Jerv
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 |
KFUM Oslo
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 |
Ranheim
|
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 |
Strommen
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 |
Mjondalen
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 |
Bryne
|
13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 |
hodd
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 |
Fredrikstad
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 |
Raufoss
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |
Ull/Kisa
|
12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -4 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Pålerud
M. Ellingsen
H. Jensen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ull/Kisa
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Sandefjord
Levanger
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Sandnes ULF
Strommen
Kongsvinger
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.