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OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger
T T U S U
1–2
Full-time
Fredrikstad
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
25%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
83%
58%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,5
Scored
1,9
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 6. · Fredrikstad 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sandefjord 13 9 2 2 +15 29
2 Kristiansund 12 8 3 1 +11 27
3 Levanger 12 6 4 2 +4 22
4 Sandnes ULF 12 6 2 4 +9 20
5 Asane 12 5 3 4 +6 18
6 Kongsvinger 12 5 3 4 +5 18
7 Jerv 11 5 3 3 -3 18
8 KFUM Oslo 12 4 4 4 -2 16
9 Ranheim 12 5 1 6 -4 16
10 Strommen 12 3 6 3 -4 15
11 Mjondalen 11 3 4 4 -6 13
12 Bryne 13 2 5 6 -6 11
13 hodd 12 3 2 7 -6 11
14 Fredrikstad 12 3 2 7 -10 11
15 Raufoss 12 2 3 7 -5 9
16 Ull/Kisa 12 1 5 6 -4 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Fredrikstad
29′
S. Kapidzic 0–1
A. Ovlien 🔁
↦ J. Richardsen
40′
Half-time 0–1
58′
🔁 F. Westgård
↦ H. Åsheim
1–1 M. Ellingsen
58′
M. Gjerstrøm 🔁
↦ A. Güven
70′
72′
🔁 A. Aalbu
↦ K. Brix
I. Sotiroglou 🔁
↦ J. Wennberg
76′
80′
🔁 M. Kaland
↦ L. Begby
81′
F. Westgård 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

1 O. Fredrikson
10 E. Nystuen
3 J. Richardsen
15 K. Suslov
2 F. Pålerud
6 J. Wennberg
8 M. Ellingsen
16 H. Holter
9 A. Güven
18 M. Moldskred
11 Maikel
Bench (6)
4 A. Ovlien
17 M. Gjerstrøm
19 I. Sotiroglou
7 E. Dadjo
21 S. Stølen
23 Dani Mederos

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
2 M. Simonsen
26 M. Jensen
4 A. Straith
23 E. Tønne
11 K. Brix
6 P. Karoliussen
20 H. Åsheim
10 S. Kapidzic
28 M. N'Diaye
18 L. Begby
Bench (7)
16 F. Westgård
14 A. Aalbu
17 M. Kaland
3 N. Sansara
7 B. Rahhaoui
22 A. Akinyemi
25 J. Masalin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.