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OBOS-ligaen
Fredrikstad
T T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Arendal
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Arendal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 11%
0%
22%
Points per game
0,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredrikstad 16. · Arendal 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Start 10 7 1 2 +12 22
2 Bodo/Glimt 9 7 1 1 +9 22
3 Ranheim 9 6 3 0 +6 21
4 Sandnes ULF 9 5 2 2 +4 17
5 Ull/Kisa 9 5 1 3 +3 16
6 Mjondalen 9 3 5 1 +7 14
7 Asane 9 3 3 3 -1 12
8 Levanger 9 2 5 2 +3 11
9 Strommen 9 3 2 4 -5 11
10 Elverum 9 2 4 3 -6 10
11 Tromsdalen Uil 9 2 3 4 -2 9
12 Floro 9 1 4 4 -5 7
13 Arendal 9 2 1 6 -7 7
14 Kongsvinger 9 1 3 5 -5 6
15 Jerv 10 0 6 4 -6 6
16 Fredrikstad 9 0 4 5 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad Arendal
Half-time 0–0
J. Lahdenmäki 🔁
↦ E. Skagestad
46′
46′
🔁 M. Andersen
↦ S. Stray
48′
W. Pepa 0–1
73′
🔁 T. Olsvik
↦ F. Næss
M. N'Diaye 🔁
↦ P. Karoliussen
74′
K. Brix 🔁
↦ L. Begby
80′
87′
🔁 P. Rnkovic
↦ W. Pepa
1–1 K. Brix
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
5 E. Skagestad
28 R. Nuhu
22 A. Akinyemi
33 D. Trebotić
6 P. Karoliussen
7 J. Veteli
16 F. Westgård
9 U. Flo
10 S. Kapidzic
18 L. Begby
Bench (7)
3 J. Lahdenmäki
19 M. N'Diaye
11 K. Brix
17 M. Kaland
20 H. Åsheim
25 J. Masalin
44 J. Armstrong

Coach: A. Loberto

Arendal

12 A. Gundersen
6 S. Stray
2 M. Olsen
13 S. Kiilerich
21 V. Lövgren
3 D. Corovic
10 J. Rasmussen
19 F. Næss
9 W. Pepa
11 Y. Ibrahimaj
17 A. Mohammed
Bench (7)
4 M. Andersen
14 T. Olsvik
7 P. Rnkovic
1 J. Aaland
20 A. Markovic
23 A. Corovic
26 L. Kilen

Coach: K. Tørum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.