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Serie A
Referee: Aleandro Di Paolo
Inter
T T T T S
5–2
Full-time
Udinese
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
This season — Serie A · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 41%
49%
32%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
65%
59%
Both score Ø 57%
59%
54%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 7. · Udinese 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 38 29 4 5 +50 91
2 Roma 38 28 3 7 +52 87
3 Napoli 38 26 8 4 +55 86
4 Atalanta 38 21 9 8 +21 72
5 Lazio 37 21 7 9 +25 70
6 Milan 38 18 9 11 +12 63
7 Inter 37 18 5 14 +20 59
8 Fiorentina 37 16 11 10 +6 59
9 Torino 37 12 14 11 +3 50
10 Sampdoria 38 12 12 14 -6 48
11 Cagliari 38 14 5 19 -21 47
12 Sassuolo 37 13 7 17 -3 46
13 Udinese 37 12 9 16 -6 45
14 Chievo 38 12 7 19 -18 43
15 Bologna 38 11 8 19 -18 41
16 Genoa 38 9 9 20 -26 36
17 Empoli 37 8 8 21 -31 32
18 Crotone 37 8 7 22 -26 31
19 Palermo 37 5 8 24 -45 23
20 Pescara 37 3 8 26 -44 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Udinese
1–0 E. Martins
D. Santon
5′
2–0 I. Perišić
E. Martins
18′
29′
🔁 Ryder Matos
↦ T. Heurtaux
3–0 M. Brozović
I. Perišić
36′
Half-time 3–0
Y. Nagatomo 🔁
↦ G. Medel
46′
46′
🔁 E. Agyemang-Badu
↦ J. Jankto
4–0 E. Martins
I. Perišić
54′
R. Palacio 🔁
↦ I. Perišić
56′
60′
🔁 Lucas Evangelista
↦ E. Hallfreðsson
Danilo D'Ambrosio 🟨
63′
71′
🟨 Silvan Widmer
T. Sainsbury 🔁
↦ D. Santon
71′
76′
A. Balić 4–1
4–2 G. Angella
own goal
78′
Trent Sainsbury 🟨
83′
92′
D. Zapata 4–3
Felipe
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Inter

4-2-3-1
30 J. Carrizo G
21 D. Santon D
2 M. Andreolli D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
17 G. Medel M
77 M. Brozović M
7 G. Kondogbia M
5 R. Gagliardini M
44 I. Perišić M
87 A. Candreva M
23 E. Martins F
Bench (12)
55 Y. Nagatomo
8 R. Palacio
20 T. Sainsbury
19 É. Banega
94 E. Yao
1 S. Handanovič
97 I. Radu
99 A. Pinamonti
41 A. Gravillon
40 Z. Vanheusden
11 J. Biabiany
42 R. Rivas Vindel

Coach: S. Vecchi

Udinese

4-4-2
22 S. Scuffet G
30 Felipe D
75 T. Heurtaux D
4 G. Angella D
34 Gabriel Silva D
23 E. Hallfreðsson M
27 S. Widmer M
99 A. Balić M
14 J. Jankto M
77 C. Théréau F
9 D. Zapata F
Bench (9)
19 Ryder Matos
8 E. Agyemang-Badu
95 Lucas Evangelista
53 Ali Adnan
37 D. Faraoni
63 L. Scordino
65 F. Djoulou
64 F. Vaško
1 O. Karnezis

Coach: L. Delneri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.