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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Martinelli
Fiorentina
S T U S T
2–2
Full-time
Pescara
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Pescara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,7
2,5
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
2,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,2
This season — Serie A · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 26%
43%
8%
Points per game
1,6
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
65%
59%
Both score Ø 57%
59%
54%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,5
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
24 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 10
0 Offside 7
15 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fiorentina 8. · Pescara 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 38 29 4 5 +50 91
2 Roma 38 28 3 7 +52 87
3 Napoli 38 26 8 4 +55 86
4 Atalanta 38 21 9 8 +21 72
5 Lazio 37 21 7 9 +25 70
6 Milan 38 18 9 11 +12 63
7 Inter 37 18 5 14 +20 59
8 Fiorentina 37 16 11 10 +6 59
9 Torino 37 12 14 11 +3 50
10 Sampdoria 38 12 12 14 -6 48
11 Cagliari 38 14 5 19 -21 47
12 Sassuolo 37 13 7 17 -3 46
13 Udinese 37 12 9 16 -6 45
14 Chievo 38 12 7 19 -18 43
15 Bologna 38 11 8 19 -18 41
16 Genoa 38 9 9 20 -26 36
17 Empoli 37 8 8 21 -31 32
18 Crotone 37 8 7 22 -26 31
19 Palermo 37 5 8 24 -45 23
20 Pescara 37 3 8 26 -44 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Feb -17 Pescara – Fiorentina 1–2

Match report

Fiorentina Pescara
14′
G. Caprari 0–1
V. Verre
Federico Chiesa 🟨
36′
Federico Chiesa 🟨
38′
Federico Chiesa 🟥
38′
42′
🟨 Hugo Campagnaro
Half-time 0–1
I. Hagi 🔁
↦ F. Bernardeschi
56′
Borja Valero 🔁
↦ G. Rodríguez
60′
Davide Astori 🟨
65′
65′
J. Bahebeck 0–2
G. Caprari
1–2 R. Saponara
K. Babacar
66′
Cristian Tello 🔁
↦ S. Cristóforo
68′
72′
🔁 A. Mitriță
↦ R. Murić
Ianis Hagi 🟨
77′
2–2 M. Vecino
Borja Valero
85′
87′
🔁 M. Coulibaly
↦ J. Bahebeck
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-2-3-1
97 B. Drągowski G
2 G. Rodríguez D
40 N. Tomović D
13 D. Astori D
18 C. Salcedo D
8 M. Vecino M
21 R. Saponara M
19 S. Cristóforo M
25 F. Chiesa F
30 K. Babacar F
10 F. Bernardeschi M
Bench (12)
24 I. Hagi
20 Borja Valero
16 Cristian Tello
4 S. De Maio
5 M. Badelj
6 C. Sánchez
12 C. Tătărușanu
31 H. Milić
57 M. Sportiello
72 J. Iličić
9 N. Kalinić
15 M. Olivera

Coach: Paulo Sousa

Pescara

4-3-3
1 V. Fiorillo G
14 H. Campagnaro D
3 C. Biraghi D
11 F. Zampano M
44 M. Fornasier D
8 L. Memushaj M
16 G. Brugman M
7 V. Verre M
15 J. Bahebeck F
17 G. Caprari F
30 R. Murić F
Bench (8)
28 A. Mitriță
33 M. Coulibaly
20 A. Cerri
31 A. Bizzarri
35 A. Coda
36 A. Cubas
93 H. Miličević
98 F. Del Sole

Coach: Z. Zeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.