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OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund
S U S T T
3–2
Full-time
Ull/Kisa
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Ull/Kisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 58%
70%
45%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
80%
55%
Both score Ø 67%
60%
73%
Average goals
3,3
3,4
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 1. · Ull/Kisa 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 10 7 1 2 +13 22
2 Sogndal 11 6 3 2 +7 21
3 Viking 11 6 1 4 +8 19
4 Mjondalen 11 5 4 2 +4 19
5 Ull/Kisa 11 5 3 3 +7 18
6 Sandnes ULF 11 5 3 3 +1 18
7 Ham-Kam 11 4 4 3 +3 16
8 Jerv 11 4 4 3 -1 16
9 Asane 11 4 3 4 -1 15
10 Notodden 11 4 2 5 +0 14
11 Nest-Sotra 11 4 1 6 -3 13
12 Kongsvinger 11 4 1 6 -4 13
13 Tromsdalen Uil 11 3 3 5 -6 12
14 Levanger 11 3 2 6 -6 11
15 Strommen 11 3 1 7 -3 10
16 Floro 10 1 2 7 -19 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Ull/Kisa
2′
N. Solberg 0–1
1–1 H. Fridjonsson
22′
38′
O. Nesset 1–2
Half-time 2–2
2–2 H. Fridjonsson
66′
H. Guèye 🔁
↦ T. Agdestein
74′
S. Fet 🔁
↦ Nenass
81′
R. Sandnes 🔁
↦ J. Hatlehol
81′
3–2 H. Guèye
83′
86′
🔁 E. Garnas
↦ N. Walstad
86′
🔁 A. Aalbu
↦ O. Nesset
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
5 O. Lie
6 K. Ramsteijn
4 S. Nattestad
22 A. Arnarson
16 J. Hatlehol
8 F. Carlsen
10 H. Fridjonsson
11 A. Þrándarson
7 Nenass
23 T. Agdestein
Bench (7)
14 H. Guèye
17 S. Fet
20 R. Sandnes
13 T. Omenås
33 A. Waagan
36 E. Solnørdal
28 H. Breivik

Coach: L. Bohinen

Ull/Kisa

31 S. Hagerup
20 M. Sundli
23 M. Kaland
21 E. Troudart
5 N. Walstad
25 M. Torp
19 K. Hansen
15 W. Kurtović
6 E. Kitolano
22 N. Solberg
14 O. Nesset
Bench (5)
26 E. Garnas
37 A. Aalbu
1 A. Vangen
8 T. Jørstad
17 K. Rognerud

Coach: V. Skogheim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.