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OBOS-ligaen
Jerv
S S S T T
4–1
Full-time
Nest-Sotra
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jerv Nest-Sotra
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
27%
64%
Both score Ø 55%
45%
64%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jerv 8. · Nest-Sotra 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 10 7 1 2 +13 22
2 Sogndal 11 6 3 2 +7 21
3 Viking 11 6 1 4 +8 19
4 Mjondalen 11 5 4 2 +4 19
5 Ull/Kisa 11 5 3 3 +7 18
6 Sandnes ULF 11 5 3 3 +1 18
7 Ham-Kam 11 4 4 3 +3 16
8 Jerv 11 4 4 3 -1 16
9 Asane 11 4 3 4 -1 15
10 Notodden 11 4 2 5 +0 14
11 Nest-Sotra 11 4 1 6 -3 13
12 Kongsvinger 11 4 1 6 -4 13
13 Tromsdalen Uil 11 3 3 5 -6 12
14 Levanger 11 3 2 6 -6 11
15 Strommen 11 3 1 7 -3 10
16 Floro 10 1 2 7 -19 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jerv Nest-Sotra
1–0 A. Hagen
31′
2–0 M. Andersen
37′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Bjørlo
↦ P. Nergard
46′
🔁 S. Liseth
↦ A. Dang
46′
🔁 A. Rødsand
↦ P. Martinsen
T. Aasheim 🔁
↦ A. Hagen
59′
3–0 U. Berglann
67′
72′
J. Furdal 3–1
I. Lidberg 🔁
↦ A. Khalili
73′
T. Collett 🔁
↦ M. Andersen
76′
4–1 T. Zernichow
81′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Jerv

20 Ø. Øvretveit
2 G. Andersen
4 E. Knudsen
3 B. Wembangomo
19 K. Tønnessen
6 M. Wichmann
23 A. Hagen
8 T. Zernichow
10 A. Khalili
7 U. Berglann
17 M. Andersen
Bench (7)
9 T. Aasheim
33 I. Lidberg
18 T. Collett
1 Ø. Knutsen
5 I. Anthony
11 J. Jenssen
95 L. Ferreira

Coach: A. Sandstø

Nest-Sotra

1 E. Selvik
5 B. Haugsdal
12 P. Martinsen
4 S. Sæthre
3 K. Bidne
2 E. Larsen
15 J. Furdal
29 K. Stephensen
8 H. Cirak
6 P. Nergard
10 A. Dang
Bench (6)
7 M. Bjørlo
9 S. Liseth
86 A. Rødsand
11 J. Edvardsen
13 E. Johansen
22 M. Songve

Coach: S. Landro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.