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OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund
S T T S S
3–0
Full-time
Notodden
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Notodden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 57%
75%
38%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
83%
54%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
62%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 1. · Notodden 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 12 9 1 2 +15 28
2 Mjondalen 13 7 4 2 +9 25
3 Viking 14 8 1 5 +6 25
4 Sogndal 12 7 3 2 +9 24
5 Ull/Kisa 13 6 3 4 +10 21
6 Jerv 13 5 4 4 +1 19
7 Kongsvinger 13 6 1 6 -2 19
8 Sandnes ULF 13 5 3 5 -1 18
9 Tromsdalen Uil 13 5 3 5 -3 18
10 Notodden 13 5 2 6 +0 17
11 Nest-Sotra 13 5 1 7 -1 16
12 Ham-Kam 14 4 4 6 -2 16
13 Asane 13 4 3 6 -6 15
14 Levanger 13 3 2 8 -11 11
15 Floro 13 3 2 8 -18 11
16 Strommen 13 3 1 9 -6 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Notodden
1–0 R. Sandnes
33′
Half-time 1–0
S. Fet 🔁
↦ Nenass
60′
63′
🔁 J. Robson
↦ E. Hustad
67′
🔁 A. Mbedule
↦ E. Johansen
2–0 T. Agdestein
71′
J. Hatlehol 🔁
↦ R. Sandnes
74′
2–1 J. Asp
own goal
80′
82′
🔁 K. Tøsse
↦ Filipe Ferreira
H. Breivik 🔁
↦ K. Ramsteijn
84′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
5 O. Lie
6 K. Ramsteijn
4 S. Nattestad
20 R. Sandnes
22 A. Arnarson
8 F. Carlsen
10 H. Fridjonsson
11 A. Þrándarson
7 Nenass
23 T. Agdestein
Bench (7)
17 S. Fet
16 J. Hatlehol
28 H. Breivik
13 T. Omenås
36 E. Solnørdal
14 H. Guèye
32 J. Fylling

Coach: L. Bohinen

Notodden

1 J. Johansson
14 J. Asp
5 S. Jenssen
2 E. Johansen
6 M. Ledger
11 M. Holmen
8 H. Gustavsen
17 Filipe Ferreira
10 E. Midtgarden
9 M. Brekke
27 E. Hustad
Bench (7)
18 J. Robson
20 A. Mbedule
21 K. Tøsse
4 M. Strange
12 E. Vasby
3 Jeffrey Perez
19 A. Hoven

Coach: K. Dokken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.