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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Haugesund
S U T S S
1–0
Full-time
Valerenga
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Haugesund Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 44%
53%
35%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
59%
65%
Both score Ø 56%
65%
47%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
13 Shots 25
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 10
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 10
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Haugesund 5. · Valerenga 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 18 11 5 2 +11 38
2 Rosenborg 18 11 4 3 +17 37
3 Molde 18 10 3 5 +18 33
4 Sarpsborg 08 18 9 5 4 +14 32
5 Haugesund 17 9 4 4 +8 31
6 Ranheim 18 9 3 6 -2 30
7 Tromso 18 8 2 8 +4 26
8 Kristiansund 18 6 6 6 -1 24
9 Valerenga 17 6 6 5 -6 24
10 Odd 18 6 4 8 +3 22
11 Stromsgodset 18 5 6 7 +3 21
12 Bodo/Glimt 18 4 7 7 -3 19
13 Lillestrom 18 3 6 9 -11 15
14 Stabaek 18 3 6 9 -14 15
15 Start 18 4 3 11 -20 15
16 Sandefjord 18 2 4 12 -21 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Haugesund Valerenga
31′
🟨 Bard Finne
42′
🟨 Daniel Fredheim Holm
Sondre Trondstad 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Stølås
B. Akintola
55′
K. Velde 🔁
↦ I. Koné
67′
69′
🔁 A. Ibrahim
↦ C. Ejuke
78′
🔁 S. Adekugbe
↦ I. Näsberg
82′
🔁 A. Dønnum
↦ A. Nouri
A. Ikedi 🔁
↦ I. Wadji
87′
90′
🟨 Jonatan Nation
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Haugesund

4-4-1-1
1 P. Bråtveit G
6 J. Nilsen M
19 K. Haraldseid D
3 B. Karamoko D
4 F. Knudsen D
7 C. Grindheim F
22 A. Stølås D
8 S. Tronstad M
17 I. Wadji F
77 B. Akintola M
20 I. Koné F
Bench (7)
33 K. Velde
35 A. Ikedi
14 T. Kallevåg
5 M. Ćosić
12 H. Sandvik
16 Bruno Leite
30 D. Horneland

Coach: E. Horneland

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
21 A. Kwarasey G
4 J. Nation D
33 A. Nouri D
22 I. Näsberg D
5 F. Carvalho D
7 D. Holm M
16 E. Israelsson M
29 M. Grødem M
11 B. Finne M
40 C. Ejuke F
19 P. Michael F
Bench (7)
6 A. Ibrahim
25 S. Adekugbe
26 A. Dønnum
3 E. Jääger
13 K. Klaesson
23 F. Myhre
27 S. Friðjónsson

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.