Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Portimonense
Boavista
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Porto
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Sp Braga
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sp Lisbon
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Vitoria Setubal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 |
Feirense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Benfica
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Maritimo
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Belenenses
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 |
Santa Clara
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 |
Tondela
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |
Nacional
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 |
Moreirense
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 |
Aves
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 |
Rio Ave
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Chaves
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Ruben Fernandes
D
Coach: António Folha
Rochinha
M
Coach: Jorge Simão
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Portimonense
Pacos Ferreira
Belenenses
Portimonense
Portimonense
Sp Lisbon
Chaves
Portimonense
Portimonense
Estoril
Joao Carlos Santos Capela · 29 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,55 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.