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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Tromso
T T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Rosenborg
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
36%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
64%
36%
Both score Ø 55%
73%
36%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 9
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 14. · Rosenborg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 13 9 1 3 +20 28
2 Odd 10 7 1 2 +7 22
3 Bodo/Glimt 10 6 2 2 +8 20
4 Valerenga 12 5 3 4 +1 18
5 Brann 12 5 3 4 +1 18
6 Kristiansund 11 5 3 3 +1 18
7 Viking 10 5 2 3 +2 17
8 Haugesund 11 4 4 3 +7 16
9 Rosenborg 11 4 3 4 -3 15
10 Ranheim 11 4 1 6 -4 13
11 Lillestrom 11 3 3 5 -7 12
12 Sarpsborg 08 11 2 5 4 -2 11
13 Mjondalen 11 2 4 5 -6 10
14 Tromso 11 3 1 7 -8 10
15 Stromsgodset 12 2 3 7 -9 9
16 Stabaek 9 2 1 6 -8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Rosenborg
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Even Hovland
1–0 Simen Wangberg
Morten Gamst Pedersen
64′
Mikael Ingebrigtsen 🔁
↦ Mushaga Bakenga
66′
71′
🔁 Yann-Erik de Lanlay
↦ Babajide David Akintola
72′
🔁 Pål André Helland
↦ Anders Trondsen
Magnus Andersen 🟨
74′
Jostein Gundersen 🔁
↦ Simen Wangberg
77′
Marcus Pedersen 🔁
↦ Magnus Andersen
84′
88′
🟨 Alexander Søderlund
Morten Gamst Pedersen 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Tromso

3-5-2
1 Gudmund Kongshavn G
5 Anders Jenssen D
22 Simen Wangberg D
3 Kent-Are Antonsen D
6 Juha Pirinen M
15 Magnus Andersen M
7 Morten Gamst Pedersen M
18 Onni Valakari M
25 Lasse Nilsen M
42 Mushaga Bakenga F
11 Robert Taylor F
Bench (7)
28 Jakob Karlstrom
26 Jostein Gundersen
2 Artem Sokol
17 Daniel Berntsen
10 Mikael Ingebrigtsen
9 Brayan Rojas
19 Marcus Pedersen

Coach: S. Valakari

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 André Hansen G
2 Vegar Eggen Hedenstad D
4 Tore Reginiussen D
16 Even Hovland D
3 Birger Meling D
22 Gjermund Aasen M
25 Marius Lundemo M
15 Anders Trondsen M
17 Babajide David Akintola F
14 Alexander Søderlund F
28 Samuel Adegbenro F
Bench (7)
24 Arild Østbø
19 Gustav Valsvik
5 Đorđe Denić
37 Mikael Törset Johnsen
10 Pål André Helland
34 Erik Botheim
11 Yann-Erik de Lanlay

Coach: E. Horneland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.