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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Valerenga
U S S T T
1–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 33%
45%
20%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
45%
20%
Both score Ø 53%
45%
60%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 7. · Sarpsborg 08 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 13 9 1 3 +20 28
2 Odd 10 7 1 2 +7 22
3 Bodo/Glimt 10 6 2 2 +8 20
4 Brann 12 5 3 4 +1 18
5 Kristiansund 11 5 3 3 +1 18
6 Viking 10 5 2 3 +2 17
7 Valerenga 11 5 2 4 +1 17
8 Haugesund 11 4 4 3 +7 16
9 Rosenborg 11 4 3 4 -3 15
10 Ranheim 11 4 1 6 -4 13
11 Lillestrom 11 3 3 5 -7 12
12 Sarpsborg 08 10 2 4 4 -2 10
13 Mjondalen 11 2 4 5 -6 10
14 Tromso 11 3 1 7 -8 10
15 Stromsgodset 12 2 3 7 -9 9
16 Stabaek 9 2 1 6 -8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Sarpsborg 08
19′
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 0–1
Jörgen Strand Larsen
1–1 Bard Finne
34′
Half-time 1–1
73′
🟨 Joachim Thomassen
Felix Horn Myhre 🔁
↦ Aron Dønnum
75′
Fitim Azemi 🔁
↦ Matthías Vilhjálmsson
82′
83′
🔁 Ismaila Cheick Coulibaly
↦ Jörgen Strand Larsen
86′
🔁 Anwar Elyounoussi
↦ Kristoffer Larsen
Sam Adekugbe 🟨
88′
90′
🔁 Steffen Skalevik
↦ Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
21 Adam Kwarasey G
5 Efrain Juarez D
2 Markus Nakkim D
22 Ivan Nasberg D
25 Sam Adekugbe D
8 Magnus Lekven M
6 Herolind Shala M
26 Aron Dønnum M
10 Matthías Vilhjálmsson M
40 Chidera Ejuke M
11 Bard Finne F
Bench (7)
13 Kristoffer Klaesson
14 Mohammed Abu
18 Christian Dahle Borchgrevink
29 Magnus Grødem
16 Erik Israelsson
23 Felix Horn Myhre
9 Fitim Azemi

Coach: R. Deila

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
78 Aleksander Vasyutin G
11 Jonathan Lindseth D
44 Sheldon Bateau D
6 Nicolai Naess D
16 Joachim Thomassen D
7 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen M
8 Matti Lund Nielsen M
17 Kristoffer Zachariassen M
19 Kristoffer Larsen M
45 Jörgen Strand Larsen F
88 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen F
Bench (7)
31 Aslak Falch
14 Wílmer Azofeifa
18 Sebastian Jarl
24 Anwar Elyounoussi
10 Steffen Skalevik
26 Ismaila Cheick Coulibaly
27 Aboubacar Konte

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.