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OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund
S S S S S
5–2
Full-time
Ham-Kam
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Ham-Kam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 55%
84%
26%
Points per game
2,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
58%
47%
Both score Ø 53%
58%
47%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
2,1
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 1. · Ham-Kam 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 19 16 2 1 +25 50
2 Start 20 13 3 4 +15 42
3 Sandefjord 20 12 6 2 +12 42
4 KFUM Oslo 20 10 5 5 +14 35
5 Sogndal 20 10 3 7 +9 33
6 Raufoss 20 10 1 9 -3 31
7 Nest-Sotra 20 8 6 6 +7 30
8 Kongsvinger 20 9 3 8 -1 30
9 Jerv 20 6 8 6 -3 26
10 Ull/Kisa 20 7 3 10 +0 24
11 Sandnes ULF 20 6 5 9 -1 23
12 Ham-Kam 19 5 5 9 -6 20
13 Notodden 20 5 2 13 -12 17
14 Skeid 20 3 7 10 -10 16
15 Strommen 20 3 7 10 -14 16
16 Tromsdalen Uil 20 2 2 16 -32 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Ham-Kam
1–0 H. Guèye
5′
13′
S. Nordli 1–1
2–1 J. Hatlehol
16′
3–1 N. Castro
24′
30′
🟨 M. Solbakken
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 L. Johnsen
↦ H. Norbye
46′
🔁 S. Pedersen
↦ P. Sæbø
4–1 N. Castro
52′
K. Hay 🔁
↦ D. Grétarsson
69′
5–1 N. Castro
71′
H. Fridjonsson 🔁
↦ T. Agdestein
74′
75′
🔁 J. Kvernstuen
↦ K. Onsrud
81′
🟨 E. Sildnes
W. Azofeifa 🔁
↦ N. Castro
81′
87′
E. Sildnes 5–2
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
4 J. Grønner
3 D. Grétarsson
15 S. Sæthre
18 D. Ólafsson
16 J. Hatlehol
8 F. Carlsen
11 A. Þrándarson
23 T. Agdestein
9 N. Castro
14 H. Guèye
Bench (7)
25 K. Hay
10 H. Fridjonsson
27 W. Azofeifa
7 Nenass
17 S. Fet
26 M. Berntzen
28 H. Breivik

Coach: L. Bohinen

Ham-Kam

12 Ł. Jarosiński
24 H. Norbye
20 J. Matland
4 J. Egeris
13 Rubén Alegre
2 P. Sæbø
10 E. Sildnes
22 K. Onsrud
17 S. Nordli
8 M. Solbakken
11 O. Midtskogen
Bench (5)
6 L. Johnsen
14 S. Pedersen
23 J. Kvernstuen
9 J. Enkerud
30 A. Fagereng

Coach: G. Helstrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.