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OBOS-ligaen
Ham-Kam
T S S T U
1–2
Full-time
Notodden
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ham-Kam Notodden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 18/19 matches
Win Ø 25%
28%
21%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
63%
Both score Ø 51%
44%
58%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Ham-Kam 12. · Notodden 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 19 16 2 1 +25 50
2 Sandefjord 19 12 5 2 +12 41
3 Start 19 12 3 4 +14 39
4 KFUM Oslo 19 9 5 5 +10 32
5 Raufoss 19 10 1 8 -2 31
6 Sogndal 19 9 3 7 +8 30
7 Kongsvinger 19 9 3 7 +0 30
8 Nest-Sotra 19 8 5 6 +7 29
9 Ull/Kisa 19 7 3 9 +4 24
10 Sandnes ULF 20 6 5 9 -1 23
11 Jerv 19 5 8 6 -7 23
12 Ham-Kam 18 5 5 8 -5 20
13 Skeid 19 3 7 9 -6 16
14 Strommen 19 3 7 9 -10 16
15 Notodden 19 4 2 13 -13 14
16 Tromsdalen Uil 19 1 2 16 -36 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ham-Kam Notodden
7′
M. Ledger 0–1
9′
🟨 M. Olsen
1–1 J. Matland
45′
Half-time 1–1
56′
🟨 M. Holmen
70′
🔁 S. Hansen
↦ A. Bakke
72′
🟨 E. Johansen
76′
🔁 M. Strange
↦ K. Tøsse
O. Midtskogen 🔁
↦ J. Enkerud
78′
85′
S. Jenssen 1–2
J. Mendy 🔁
↦ E. Sildnes
87′
88′
🔁 J. Robson
↦ M. Holmen
90′
🟨 M. Tagbajumi
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ham-Kam

12 Ł. Jarosiński
20 J. Matland
4 J. Egeris
13 Rubén Alegre
14 S. Pedersen
6 L. Johnsen
10 E. Sildnes
9 J. Enkerud
22 K. Onsrud
17 S. Nordli
8 M. Solbakken
Bench (7)
11 O. Midtskogen
18 J. Mendy
1 L. Jendal
21 L. Sveen
23 J. Kvernstuen
24 H. Norbye
2 P. Sæbø

Coach: G. Helstrup

Notodden

12 E. Vasby
5 S. Jenssen
2 E. Johansen
6 M. Ledger
14 M. Olsen
11 M. Holmen
8 H. Gustavsen
21 K. Tøsse
33 M. Tagbajumi
9 M. Brekke
22 A. Bakke
Bench (7)
25 S. Hansen
4 M. Strange
18 J. Robson
10 E. Midtgarden
24 M. Langset
30 B. Grøtterud
17 Filipe Ferreira

Coach: K. Dokken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.