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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: S Hauge
Lillestrom
T S S S U
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Stjørdals-Blink
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
5,3
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
1,7
5,3
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
0,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 3. · Stjørdals-Blink 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ranheim 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Tromso 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Lillestrom 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Sogndal 3 2 0 1 +6 6
5 KFUM Oslo 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Sandnes ULF 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Ull/Kisa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
8 Stjørdals-Blink 3 1 0 2 +0 3
9 Raufoss 3 1 0 2 +0 3
10 Grorud 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Øygarden 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 Kongsvinger 3 1 0 2 -4 3
13 Asane 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 Strommen 3 1 0 2 -4 3
15 Jerv 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Ham-Kam 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Stjørdals-Blink
24′
🟨 S. Kartum
I. Matthew 🟨
32′
33′
M. Lillebo 0–1
Half-time 0–1
L. Ranger 🔁
↦ M. Ebiye
46′
58′
🔁 J. Olufsen
↦ M. Augdal
65′
🟨 S. Sandmael
K. Ødemarksbakken 🔁
↦ D. Gustafsson
71′
71′
🔁 T. Hestad
↦ A. Nygaard
80′
🟨 T. Hestad
M. Knudsen 🔁
↦ F. Krogstad
84′
S. Mauritz-Hansen 🔁
↦ A. Melgalvis
84′
88′
🔁 L. Bransdal
↦ S. Stokke
88′
🔁 O. Rødahl
↦ S. Kartum
91′
🟨 V. Vinje
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

12 M. Christiansen
23 M. Amundsen
3 S. Mikalsen
4 T. Salquist
33 A. Melgalvis
7 T. Kallevåg
14 F. Krogstad
8 I. Mathew
90 D. Gustafsson
10 T. Olsen
18 M. Ebiye
Bench (8)
26 L. Ranger
17 K. Ødemarksbakken
21 M. Knudsen
11 S. Mauritz-Hansen
1 M. Igonen
5 S. Rafn
22 P. Slørdahl
28 A. Tongnoy

Coach: G. Bakke

Stjørdals-Blink

1 N. Frenderup
29 R. Bjørnholm-Jatta
15 V. Fiske
4 V. Vinje
14 M. Strand
20 S. Sandmæl
8 S. Kartum
7 M. Augdal
5 A. Nygaard
10 S. Stokke
9 M. Lillebo
Bench (8)
11 J. Olufsen
19 T. Hestad
25 L. Bransdal
32 O. Rødahl
21 J. Johansson
22 P. Hjelmseth
23 S. Halgunset
30 J. Skille

Coach: R. Vikvang

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Hauge · 97 kamper i vår database

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.